Andrey Rublev and Tommy Paul will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.48
Tommy Paul -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 6th time that Andrey Rublev and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Rublev won 7-5 6-3 in the quarter in Gijon back in 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Tommy Paul – Gijon 14-October-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-20 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rublev reached the 4th round after beating Quentin Halys 6-4 7-5 and Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-3 6-0). During the match, Rublev scored 57 points vs Mannarino’s 34. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rublev broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (409-225). 20-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an overall 157-84 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has an overall 47-20 win-loss record in 2023, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-16 | 16-10 | 10-4 | 4-0 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Tommy got to the 4th round after defeating Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-0 and Arthur Fils 6-4 6-77 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Paul defeated Fils (6-4 6-77 6-4). During the match Paul scored 107 points vs Fils’s 98. Tommy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Paul recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (40/56) of his 1st serve and 70% (30/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Fils 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Tommy has a composed 42-25 win-loss record in 2023, 27-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 48 |
| Pts | 125-86 | 166-133 |
| Total Points | 211 | 299 |
| Winners | 62 | 56 |
| %Winners | 50% | 34% |
Both Rublev and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul conceded 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 11 games less than Paul. The Russian scored 62 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy struck 56 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 5 |
| 1st in | 72/106 | 74/134 |
| %1st in | 68% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 62/72 | 56/74 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 42/60 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 70% |
Rublev fired 20 aces (10 per match). Paul scored 10 aces (5 per match). Rublev won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Rublev broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Andrey very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Halys |
R3 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 37 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 57-34 | 125-86 | |
| Total points | 120 | 91 | 211 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 47% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 34/51 | 72/106 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/38 | 27/34 | 62/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 79% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/5 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Ofner |
R3 Fils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-77 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 33 | 48 | |
| pts | 59-35 | 107-98 | 166-133 | |
| Total points | 94 | 205 | 299 | |
| Winners | 16 | 40 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 18/35 | 56/99 | 74/134 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 16/18 | 40/56 | 56/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 30/43 | 42/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/8 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 38% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
WLWLWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Casper RuudRuud (7-63 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Andrey RublevRublev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jeff WolfWolf (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (3-0) – H2H and prediction
