Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans will square off in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.088
Daniel Evans -> 7.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniel Evans
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in September 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Evans – U.S. Open 02-September-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2,he will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Shanghai where he defeated 6-2 7-5 to Barrere in the 2nd round on the 7th of October.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 62-8 win-loss record in 2023, 25-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Talking about his overall career, Alcaraz has an overall 230-59 record. He has a positive 74-19 record on hard.
Previously in Shanghai
Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Evans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-25 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-26 | 8-11 | 3-8 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-27 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Daniel reached the 3rd round after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-2 3-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Kukushkin, Evans had a free pass after Kukushkin retired on a 6-2 3-0 . scoreline.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Washington where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Brit has a composed 19-24 win-loss record in 2023, 11-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 11 |
| Pts | 79-66 | 44-19 |
| Total Points | 145 | 63 |
| Winners | 35 | 14 |
| %Winners | 44% | 32% |
Both Alcaraz and Evans played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Evans (2 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that Alcaraz played 9 games more than Evans. The Spaniard scored 35 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit blasted 14 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6 |
| 1st in | 50/66 | 15/27 |
| %1st in | 76% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 14/15 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 93% |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 9/12 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 75% |
Alcaraz made 4 aces . Evans fired 6 aces . Alcaraz won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 93% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 75% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 67% | 80% |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 86% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Evans broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Alcaraz | ||
| Total | ||
|---|---|---|
| Score | ||
| Tot Set | 0 | |
| Tot Games | 0 | |
| pts | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |
| %Winners | 0% | |
| SERVE | ||
| Aces | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |
| 1st in | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | |
| 1st pts | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | % | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | |
| Breaks | ||
| Won | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |
| Saved | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |
| Evans | |||
| R2 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 11 | 11 | |
| pts | 44-19 | 44-19 | |
| Total points | 63 | 63 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 14/15 | 14/15 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 9/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
LWWLWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ben SheltonShelton – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (3-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-62 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-68 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniel EvansEvans (3-0) – H2H and prediction
