Elias Ymer and Dennis Novak will fight against each other in the quarter of the Alicante Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dennis Novak who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dennis Novak is the pick to win this match.
Dennis Novak -> 1.63
Elias Ymer -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Dennis Novak
This will be the 3rd time that Elias Ymer and Dennis Novak clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ymer and Novak (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Ymer won 6-4 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in the Prostejov Challenger back in June 2023.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 172, Ymer got to the quarter after beating Adrian Andreev 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Mattia Bellucci 3-6 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Bellucci, Ymer recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 6-3).During the match, Ymer scored less points (4) than Bellucci. In fact, the world no. 172 won 91 points vs Bellucci’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. The Swede was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ymer bagged 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Elias Ymer was very efficient on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swede broke Bellucci once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elias has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 51% of the points he played.
Ymer has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (341-274). 10-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ymer has a compiled 68-77 record in the last years on hard.
Elias’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.
Elias has a composed 35-33 win-loss record in 2023, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Alicante Challenger
Dennis Novak
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-26 | 5-6 | 18-15 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-23 | 12-3 | 12-10 | 10-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 2-2 | 21-14 | 6-9 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 26-29 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 14-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 8-6 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 196, the Austrian got to the quarter after defeating Alex Molcan 6-1 6-3 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 7-67.
In the 2nd round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (7-5 7-67). During the match Novak scored 83 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 68. Dennis was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Novak fired 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dennis Novak was very efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dennis broke Ferreira Silva twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dennis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger where he beat Tung-Lin Wu in the final 6-4 6-4.
Novak has a compiled 30-18 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Novak |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 41 |
| Pts | 172-162 | 142-105 |
| Total Points | 334 | 247 |
| Winners | 84 | 57 |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% |
Both Ymer and Novak played 2 matches. At the moment, Elias Ymer dropped 2 sets while Dennis Novak hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ymer has played 2 sets more than Novak (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ymer played 17 games more than Novak. The Swede scored 84 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Dennis fired 57 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Novak |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 11 |
| 1st in | 106/175 | 72/119 |
| %1st in | 61% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 84/106 | 57/72 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 38/69 | 29/47 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 62% |
Ymer struck 22 aces (11 per match). Novak fired 22 aces (11 per match). Ymer won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Novak won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Novak |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 44% | 47% |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The Swede broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ymer dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | ||||
| R1 Andreev |
R2 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 3-6 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| pts | 81-67 | 91-95 | 172-162 | |
| Total points | 148 | 186 | 334 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 7 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 51/76 | 55/99 | 106/175 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 56% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 42/55 | 84/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 24/44 | 38/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 1/5 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 20% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Novak | ||||
| R1 Molcan |
R2 Ferreira Silva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 25 | 41 | |
| pts | 59-37 | 83-68 | 142-105 | |
| Total points | 96 | 151 | 247 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 12 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 46/71 | 72/119 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 36/46 | 57/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 17/25 | 29/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 68% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/7 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 29% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWL
LWLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in Alicante Challenger
- Nick Chappell/Martin DammChappell/Martin Damm – Nicolas Barrientos/Andre GoranssonBarrientos/Andre Goransson (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Constant LestienneLestienne – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Dennis NovakNovak (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Billy HarrisHarris (1-0) – H2H and prediction
