Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer will square off in the 2nd round of the Alicante Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.6
Elias Ymer -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Elias Ymer
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-32 | 31-17 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 144, Bellucci got to the 2nd round after defeating Akira Santillan 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Santillan (6-4 7-5). During the match, Bellucci scored 68 points vs Santillan’s 58. Bellucci was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci struck 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bellucci broke Santillan twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (178-97). 16-16 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a compiled96-41 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cassis Challenger where he defeated Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Italian has a compiled 27-30 win-loss record in 2023, 16-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Alicante Challenger
Mattia has never competed in this tournament before.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-31 | 6-14 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 179, Elias reached the 2nd round after beating Adrian Andreev 4-6 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round against Andreev, The Swede recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Ymer scored 81 points vs Andreev’s 67. Elias was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Ymer struck 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elias Ymer was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (42/51) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Elias broke Andreev 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
The Swede’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.
The Swede has an overall 34-33 win-loss record in 2023, 9-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 27 |
| Pts | 68-58 | 81-67 |
| Total Points | 126 | 148 |
| Winners | 31 | 42 |
| %Winners | 46% | 52% |
Both Bellucci and Ymer played 1 match. At the moment, Elias Ymer dropped 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 1 set(s) less than Ymer (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bellucci played 5 games less than Ymer. Mattia scored 31 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Elias bagged 42 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 15 |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 51/76 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 42/51 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 14/25 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 56% |
Bellucci scored 9 aces . Ymer recorded 15 aces . Bellucci won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 40% | 75% |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Mattia broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Bellucci had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Swede broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||
| R1 Santillan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-58 | 68-58 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/62 | 39/62 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 31/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ymer | |||
| R1 Andreev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 81-67 | 81-67 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/76 | 51/76 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 42/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWW
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