Hugo Gaston and Mathias Bourgue will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Mouilleron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.51
Mathias Bourgue -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Mathias Bourgue
There is no head to head record between Hugo Gaston and Mathias Bourgue since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Hugo Gaston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, the French player reached the 2nd round after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-79 7-64 6-2.
In the 1st round against Virtanen, Gaston recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 7-64 6-2). During the match, Gaston scored 123 points vs Virtanen’s 114. Hugo was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaston recorded 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Hugo Gaston lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 59% of his first serves in, winning 64% (47/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (35/51) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Gaston has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (202-146). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaston has an overall49-45 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Iasi Challenger where he overcame Bernabe Zapata Miralles in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4 and the Trieste Challenger where he overcame Francesco Passaro in the final 6-3 5-7 6-2.
The French player has a compiled 37-26 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-29 | 7-5 | 11-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 269, Bourgue reached the 2nd round after beating Valentin Royer 6-3 7-63.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Royer (6-3 7-63). During the match Bourgue scored 68 points vs Royer’s 58. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Bourgue scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mathias Bourgue was very effective on serve to win 82% (41/50) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bourgue broke Royer once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
The French player best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sabadell.
Bourgue has a compiled 37-23 win-loss record in 2023, 12-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 22 |
| Pts | 123-114 | 68-58 |
| Total Points | 237 | 126 |
| Winners | 47 | 41 |
| %Winners | 38% | 60% |
Both Gaston and Bourgue played 1 match. At the moment, Hugo Gaston dropped 1 set while Mathias Bourgue hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gaston has played 1 set more than Bourgue (3 vs 2). Therefore, Gaston played 12 games more than Bourgue. Hugo scored 47 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mathias blasted 41 winners (60%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 8 |
| 1st in | 73/124 | 50/67 |
| %1st in | 59% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 47/73 | 41/50 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 35/51 | 10/17 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 59% |
Gaston recorded 8 aces . Bourgue made 8 aces . Gaston won 64% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Bourgue won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 1 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/2 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 |
| Saved | 8 | 0 |
| % Saved | 89% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Hugo broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Gaston conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Mathias broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Bourgue was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Gaston | |||
| R1 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-79 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 123-114 | 123-114 | |
| Total points | 237 | 237 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 73/124 | 73/124 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 47/73 | 47/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 35/51 | 35/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Bourgue | |||
| R1 Royer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-58 | 68-58 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 60% | 60% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/67 | 50/67 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 41/50 | 41/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LLLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Le
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Maxime CressyCressy (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Adrien GobatGobat (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Dan AddedAdded (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Remy BertolaBertola (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GastonGaston – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-79 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Maxime CressyCressy (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Remy BertolaBertola (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Joris De LooreDe Loore (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Adrien GobatGobat (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Dan AddedAdded (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- David GoffinGoffin – Charles BroomBroom (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jules MarieMarie – Lucas PoullainPoullain (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – Mathias BourgueBourgue (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
