Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud will clash against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.153
Casper Ruud -> 5.4
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-4 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3 in the final in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud – U.S. Open 11-September-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-3 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 55 points vs Musetti’s 40. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Musetti 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (228-58). 23-4 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a compiled72-18 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 60-7 win-loss record in 2023, 23-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Casper reached the quarter after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 7-65 6-3 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1-6 7-5 7-67.
In the 2nd round against Etcheverry, Casper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 7-67).During the match Ruud scored less points (9) than Etcheverry. In fact, the world no. 2 won 100 points vs Etcheverry’s. That means that Ruud was more focused during the important points. Ruud was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruud struck 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 58% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Etcheverry 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Estoril where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-2 7-6(3).
Ruud has a compiled 33-18 win-loss record in 2023, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 54 |
| Pts | 125-96 | 184-184 |
| Total Points | 221 | 368 |
| Winners | 48 | 75 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Alcaraz and Ruud played 2 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud conceded 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Ruud (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 19 games less than Ruud. The Spaniard scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian blasted 75 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 66/100 | 111/184 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 48/66 | 75/111 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 39/73 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 53% |
Alcaraz made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Ruud scored 16 aces (8 per match). Alcaraz won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 32% |
| Conceded | 6 | 17 |
| Saved | 4 | 11 |
| % Saved | 67% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Carlos lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Casper broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Hanfmann |
R2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 | 35 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 55-40 | 125-96 | |
| Total points | 126 | 95 | 221 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 36/53 | 66/100 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 24/36 | 48/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 11/17 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 65% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 4/5 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 80% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Ruud | ||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 1-6 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 54 | |
| pts | 84-75 | 100-109 | 184-184 | |
| Total points | 159 | 209 | 368 | |
| Winners | 35 | 40 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 48/75 | 63/109 | 111/184 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 40/63 | 75/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 63% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 24/46 | 39/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/10 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 30% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 6/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 55% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LWLWLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (7-65 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nicolas JarryJarry (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
