Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the China Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:30 pm on DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.07
Lorenzo Musetti -> 8.5

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 4^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-2 6-2 in the 4^th round in at the French Open back in June 2023.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti – French Open 04-June-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 2^nd round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-3

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In the 1^st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 70 points vs Hanfmann’s 56. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz fired 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 64% of his first serves in, winning 80% (24/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Hanfmann 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (227-58). 22-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed71-18 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.

Alcaraz has a composed 59-7 win-loss record in 2023, 22-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 18, Musetti reached the 2^nd round after beating Karen Khachanov 6-3 1-6 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Musetti defeated Khachanov (6-3 1-6 6-2).During the match Musetti scored less points (1) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 2 won 74 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Musetti was more focused during the important points. Musetti was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Musetti scored 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 58% of his first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.

Musetti has a composed 32-23 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Musetti
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	19	24
Pts	70-56	74-75
Total Points	126	149
Winners	24	30
%Winners	34%	41%

Both Alcaraz and Musetti played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (2 vs 3). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games less than Musetti. Alcaraz scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 30 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Musetti
Aces	2	5
Avg per match	2	5
1st in	30/47	46/79
%1st in	64%	58%
1st pts	24/30	30/46
%1st pts	80%	65%
2nd pts	8/17	17/33
%2nd pts	47%	52%

Alcaraz scored 2 aces . Musetti scored 5 aces . Alcaraz won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Musetti
Won	5	4
Converted	5/16	4/5
% Converted	31%	80%
Conceded	3	5
Saved	1	2
% Saved	33%	40%
Times Broken	2	3

Alcaraz broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Hanfmann	Total
Score	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	70-56	70-56
Total points	126	126
Winners	24	24
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	30/47	30/47
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	24/30	24/30
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	8/17	8/17
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/16	5/16
Converted %	31%	31%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	1/3	1
Saved %	33%	33%
Times Broken	2	2

Musetti
	R1 Khachanov	Total
Score	6-3 1-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	24	24
pts	74-75	74-75
Total points	149	149
Winners	30	30
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	46/79	46/79
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	30/46	30/46
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	17/33	17/33
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Nicolas JarryJarry – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-7⁴ 7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-6³ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction