Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:30 pm on DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.07
Lorenzo Musetti -> 8.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-2 6-2 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in June 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti – French Open 04-June-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-9 | 14-4 | 17-4 | 4-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 70 points vs Hanfmann’s 56. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz fired 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 64% of his first serves in, winning 80% (24/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Hanfmann 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (227-58). 22-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed71-18 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Alcaraz has a composed 59-7 win-loss record in 2023, 22-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-25 | 12-10 | 18-10 | 1-2 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Musetti reached the 2nd round after beating Karen Khachanov 6-3 1-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, Musetti defeated Khachanov (6-3 1-6 6-2).During the match Musetti scored less points (1) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 2 won 74 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Musetti was more focused during the important points. Musetti was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti scored 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 58% of his first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Lorenzo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.
Musetti has a composed 32-23 win-loss record in 2023, 10-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 24 |
| Pts | 70-56 | 74-75 |
| Total Points | 126 | 149 |
| Winners | 24 | 30 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Alcaraz and Musetti played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Musetti (2 vs 3). Therefore, Alcaraz played 5 games less than Musetti. Alcaraz scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 30 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 46/79 |
| %1st in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 30/46 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 17/33 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Alcaraz scored 2 aces . Musetti scored 5 aces . Alcaraz won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 31% | 80% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 33% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Alcaraz broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||
| R1 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 70-56 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 30/47 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 24/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 8/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Musetti | |||
| R1 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 74-75 | 74-75 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 46/79 | 46/79 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 30/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLLWW
LWWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-74 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
