Jozef Kovalik and Andrea Pellegrino will clash against each other in the quarter of the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.6
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.27
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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 3rd time that Jozef Kovalik and Andrea Pellegrino face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kovalik (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Kovalik won 7-6(1) 7-6(7) in the 1st round in the Szczecin Challenger back in September 2023.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-10 | 3-4 | 17-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-16 | 2-3 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 201, Kovalik reached the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 7-5 3-6 7-66 and Ergi Kirkin 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Kirkin (6-1 6-2). During the match, Kovalik scored 54 points vs Kirkin’s 26. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovalik wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Jozef Kovalik was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kovalik was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kirkin 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Slovakian has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Kovalik has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (332-262). 18-23 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovalik has a composed 258-168 record in the last years on clay.
The Slovakian has a compiled 20-29 win-loss record in 2023, 18-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
Kovalik has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 230, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Jurij Rodionov 6-76 6-3 6-2 and Francesco Passaro 2-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Passaro, Pellegrino recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Pellegrino scored 76 points vs Passaro’s 64. Pellegrino was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Pellegrino scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (32/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Passaro 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pellegrino has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Pellegrino’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the San Marino Challenger.
Andrea has an aggregate 18-25 win-loss record in 2023, 16-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovalik | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 54 |
| Pts | 154-132 | 182-153 |
| Total Points | 286 | 335 |
| Winners | 56 | 84 |
| %Winners | 36% | 46% |
Both Kovalik and Pellegrino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jozef Kovalik surrendered 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino dropped 2 sets. Kovalik has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (5 vs 6). Therefore, Kovalik played 5 games less than Pellegrino. Kovalik scored 56 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 84 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovalik | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 84/137 | 121/174 |
| %1st in | 61% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 56/84 | 84/121 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 34/53 | 34/53 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 64% |
Kovalik recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Pellegrino also recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Kovalik won 67% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovalik | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 7 |
| % Saved | 29% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
The Slovakian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jozef dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 29% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovalik | ||||
| R1 Carballes Baena |
R2 Kirkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-6 7-66 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 15 | 49 | |
| pts | 100-106 | 54-26 | 154-132 | |
| Total points | 206 | 80 | 286 | |
| Winners | 37 | 19 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/96 | 26/41 | 84/137 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/58 | 19/26 | 56/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 73% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/38 | 13/15 | 34/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 87% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/4 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 100% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 29% | – | 15% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||
| R1 Rodionov |
R2 Passaro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-3 6-2 | 2-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 54 | |
| pts | 106-89 | 76-64 | 182-153 | |
| Total points | 195 | 140 | 335 | |
| Winners | 52 | 32 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 42% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 74/106 | 47/68 | 121/174 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 69% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 52/74 | 32/47 | 84/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 68% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 12/21 | 34/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 57% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/11 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 45% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
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- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Dennis NovakNovak (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Marvin MoellerMoeller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
