Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin will square off in the 3rd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO AKRON DE TENNIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.51
Sofia Kenin -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Sofia Kenin

This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 6-1 6-2 in the 1st round in Dubai back in 2022.

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
11
High
5
LLWWWWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-15 13-6 8-6 4-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 16, the Latvian reached the 3rd round after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-2 6-3). During the match, Ostapenko scored 58 points vs Kostyuk’s 40. Jelena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ostapenko wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jelena Ostapenko was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jelena broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (322-203). 19-12 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a composed 118-97 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Birmingham where she defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the final 7-6(8) 6-4.

Ostapenko has a compiled 34-18 win-loss record in 2023, 19-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guadalajara

Guadalajara
Ostapenko's Record

Sofia Kenin

Sofia Kenin

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
54
High
4
LLLWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-17 1-8 5-6 0-0 1-3 0-0
2023 27-21 17-12 3-4 1-2 6-3 0-0
2022 10-17 7-14 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 11-10 7-5 3-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2020 24-9 12-6 6-2 6-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 53, Sofia reached the 3rd round after defeating Carol Zhao 6-4 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-2 7-65.

In the 2nd round, Sofia had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-2 7-65). During the match Kenin scored 77 points vs Kalinina’s 68. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Kenin recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 77% of her first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kenin hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Kenin’s best result of the season was reaching the final in San Diego.

Sofia has an overall 24-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guadalajara

Kenin has never competed in this tournament before.

Guadalajara
Kenin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Ostapenko
S.Kenin
1h:04
1h:04
Time on court​
!
2h:56
2h:56
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
1h:34
1h:34
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
17
17
Games Played​
40
40
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
58
58
Total points​
150
150
58
58
Avg point​
75
75
21
21
Winners
63
63
21
21
Avg Winners​
31.5
31.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
5
5
0
0
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
21/26
21/26
1st won total​
63/97
63/97
!
81%
81%
1st won %
65%
65%
12/22
12/22
2nd won total​
22/39
22/39
55%
55%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
8/17
8/17
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
4/8.5
4/8.5
!
80%
80%
Won
47%
47%
1
1
Conceded
10
10
1
1
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
3
3
1
1
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
0
0
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ostapenko Kenin
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 17 40
Pts 58-40 150-130
Total Points 98 280
Winners 21 63
%Winners 36% 42%

Ostapenko played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Kenin (2 vs 4). Therefore, Ostapenko played 23 games less than Kenin. Jelena scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Kenin fired 63 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ostapenko Kenin
Aces 0 5
Avg per match 0 2.5
1st in 26/48 97/136
%1st in 54% 71%
1st pts 21/26 63/97
%1st pts 81% 65%
2nd pts 12/22 22/39
%2nd pts 55% 56%

Ostapenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kenin scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ostapenko won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ostapenko Kenin
Won 4 8
Converted 4/5 8/17
% Converted 80% 47%
Conceded 1 10
Saved 0 7
% Saved 0% 70%
Times Broken 1 3

Jelena broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Latvian lost her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Ostapenko
R2
Kostyuk
Total
Score 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 58-40 58-40
Total points 98 98
Winners 21 21
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 26/48 26/48
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 21/26 21/26
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 12/22 12/22
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Kenin
R1
Zhao
R2
Kalinina
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 21 40
pts 73-62 77-68 150-130
Total points 135 145 280
Winners 26 37 63
%Winners 36% 48% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 41/63 56/73 97/136
% 1st in 65% 77% 71%
1st pts 26/41 37/56 63/97
% 1st pts 63% 66% 65%
2nd pts 15/22 7/17 22/39
% 2nd pts 68% 41% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/10 4/7 8/17
Converted % 40% 57% 47%
Conceded 5 5 10
Saved 4/5 3/5 7
Saved % 80% 60% 140%
Times Broken 1 2 3

Tennis Scores in Guadalajara

Upcoming matches in the draw