Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin will square off in the 3rd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO AKRON DE TENNIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.51
Sofia Kenin -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Sofia Kenin
This will be the 4th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 6-1 6-2 in the 1st round in Dubai back in 2022.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Latvian reached the 3rd round after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-2 6-3). During the match, Ostapenko scored 58 points vs Kostyuk’s 40. Jelena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jelena Ostapenko was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jelena broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (322-203). 19-12 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a composed 118-97 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Birmingham where she defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the final 7-6(8) 6-4.
Ostapenko has a compiled 34-18 win-loss record in 2023, 19-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guadalajara
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Sofia reached the 3rd round after defeating Carol Zhao 6-4 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-2 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Sofia had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-2 7-65). During the match Kenin scored 77 points vs Kalinina’s 68. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Kenin recorded 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 77% of her first serves in, winning 66% (37/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kenin hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Kenin’s best result of the season was reaching the final in San Diego.
Sofia has an overall 24-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guadalajara
Kenin has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 40 |
| Pts | 58-40 | 150-130 |
| Total Points | 98 | 280 |
| Winners | 21 | 63 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Ostapenko played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Kenin (2 vs 4). Therefore, Ostapenko played 23 games less than Kenin. Jelena scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Kenin fired 63 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 97/136 |
| %1st in | 54% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 63/97 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 22/39 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 56% |
Ostapenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kenin scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Ostapenko won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 80% | 47% |
| Conceded | 1 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Jelena broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Latvian lost her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-40 | 58-40 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 26/48 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kenin | ||||
| R1 Zhao |
R2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 73-62 | 77-68 | 150-130 | |
| Total points | 135 | 145 | 280 | |
| Winners | 26 | 37 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | 56/73 | 97/136 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 77% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/41 | 37/56 | 63/97 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 7/17 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 41% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/7 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 60% | 140% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWL
LWWLW Tennis Scores in Guadalajara
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elvina KalievaKalieva (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie Fernandez/Taylor TownsendAnnie Fernandez/Taylor Townsend – Ons Jabeur/Peyton StearnsJabeur/Peyton Stearns (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Sachia VickeryVickery (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-64 7-68) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Emiliana ArangoArango – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elise MertensMertens (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Storm HunterHunter (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Eugenie BouchardBouchard (6-2 6-74 6-4) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-65 5-7 7-64) – See score progression
- Nikita MashtakovMashtakov – Alessandro PetronePetrone (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Pavel NejedlyNejedly – Pascal BrunnerBrunner (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Enrique Lopez-PerezLopez-Perez – Tak Khunn WangKhunn Wang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ji Hoon SonHoon Son – Cheong-Eui KimKim (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dragos DimaDima – Jung-Woong NaNa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ivan NedelkoNedelko – Vasile AntonescuAntonescu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Davide GaloppiniGaloppini (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Alycia ParksParks (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Sachia VickeryVickery (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elise MertensMertens (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elvina KalievaKalieva (6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Storm HunterHunter (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Emiliana ArangoArango (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-3) – H2H and prediction
