Thai Kwiatkowski and Keegan Smith will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Cary 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on COURT 15. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thai Kwiatkowski who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thai Kwiatkowski is the pick to win this match.
Thai Kwiatkowski -> 1.53
Keegan Smith -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Thai Kwiatkowski vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Thai Kwiatkowski and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Thai Kwiatkowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 19-8 | 1-7 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 23-15 | 7-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-9 | 9-6 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 11-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 469, Thai reached the qualifications after defeating Jibril Nettles 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Thai had a good straight sets win against Nettles (6-4 6-2). During the match, Kwiatkowski scored 68 points vs Nettles’s 48. Thai was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kwiatkowski recorded 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Thai Kwiatkowski was very effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kwiatkowski broke Nettles 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Kwiatkowski has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (186-136). 10-10 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kwiatkowski has a compiled 117-81 record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Sunrise.
Kwiatkowski has a composed 19-16 win-loss record in 2023, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 2 Challenger
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-18 | 28-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 589, Smith got to the qualifications after defeating Luca Staeheli 6-4 0-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, The American defeated Staeheli (6-4 0-6 6-2).During the match Smith scored less points (1) than Staeheli. In fact, the world no. 469 won 76 points vs Staeheli’s. That means that Smith was more focused during the important points. Smith was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Smith made 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (11/35) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Staeheli 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and M15 San Diego.
Smith has a composed 25-16 win-loss record in 2023, 22-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kwiatkowski | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 24 |
| Pts | 68-48 | 76-77 |
| Total Points | 116 | 153 |
| Winners | 24 | 33 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Kwiatkowski and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Keegan Smith lost 1 set while Thai Kwiatkowski hasn’t lost a set so far. Kwiatkowski has played 1 set(s) less than Smith (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kwiatkowski played 6 games less than Smith. Thai scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Keegan fired 33 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kwiatkowski | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 29/50 | 49/84 |
| %1st in | 58% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 33/49 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 11/35 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 31% |
Kwiatkowski made 3 aces . Smith recorded 5 aces . Kwiatkowski won 83% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 31% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kwiatkowski | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Thai was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Smith broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Smith conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kwiatkowski | |||
| Q1 Nettles |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 68-48 | 68-48 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/50 | 29/50 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 24/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Staeheli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 76-77 | 76-77 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/84 | 49/84 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/49 | 33/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/35 | 11/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 31% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLWW
LWWLWLWWWW 
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