Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on ARTHUR ASHE STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cori Gauff is the pick to win this match.
Cori Gauff -> 1.49
Karolina Muchova -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 2nd time that Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 6-3 6-4 in the final in Cincinnati back in August 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Karolina Muchova – Cincinnati 20-August-2023
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-17 | 31-9 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Cori got to the semifinal after defeating Laura Siegemund 3-6 6-2 6-4, Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-2, Elise Mertens 3-6 6-3 6-0, Caroline Wozniacki 6-3 3-6 6-1 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-0 6-2.
In the quarter, Gauff had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-0 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 58 points vs Ostapenko’s 35. Cori was quite aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff struck 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 48% of her first serves in, winning 65% (15/23) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Ostapenko 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cori has dropped 3 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of her matches (167-79). 32-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has a compiled91-45 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Auckland where she overcame Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Cincinnati where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4.
Gauff has an overall 43-13 win-loss record in 2023, 32-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Muchova reached the semifinal after defeating Storm Hunter 6-4 6-0, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Taylor Townsend 7-60 6-3, Xinyu Wang 6-3 5-7 6-1 and Sorana Cirstea 6-0 6-3.
In the quarter, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Cirstea (6-0 6-3). During the match Muchova scored 73 points vs Cirstea’s 49. Karolina was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova blasted 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Muchova lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 70% of her first serves in, winning 60% (28/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Cirstea 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Muchova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in at the French Open and Cincinnati.
Karolina has an overall 38-12 win-loss record in 2023, 28-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 99 |
| Pts | 400-308 | 377-274 |
| Total Points | 708 | 651 |
| Winners | 142 | 147 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Gauff and Muchova played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff dropped 3 sets, while Karolina Muchova lost 1 set. Gauff has played 2 sets more than Muchova (13 vs 11). Therefore, Gauff played 8 games more than Muchova. The American scored 142 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina scored 147 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st in | 198/349 | 213/344 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 142/198 | 147/213 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 75/151 | 69/131 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 53% |
Gauff bagged 23 aces (4.6 per match). Muchova managed to score 13 aces (2.6 per match). Gauff won 72% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 26 |
| Converted | 26/44 | 26/41 |
| % Converted | 59% | 63% |
| Conceded | 34 | 31 |
| Saved | 22 | 21 |
| % Saved | 65% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 10 |
Cori broke her opponents 26 times with a 59% conversion rate. Gauff lost her serve 12 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 26 times with a 63% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||||
| R1 Siegemund |
R2 Andreeva |
R3 Mertens |
R4 Wozniacki |
1/4 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 107 | |
| pts | 101-91 | 65-38 | 90-73 | 86-71 | 58-35 | 400-308 | |
| Total points | 192 | 103 | 163 | 157 | 93 | 708 | |
| Winners | 30 | 22 | 40 | 35 | 15 | 142 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 34% | 44% | 41% | 26% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 40/83 | 27/48 | 58/87 | 50/83 | 23/48 | 198/349 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 56% | 67% | 60% | 48% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 22/27 | 40/58 | 35/50 | 15/23 | 142/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 81% | 69% | 70% | 65% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/43 | 13/21 | 10/29 | 16/33 | 15/25 | 75/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 62% | 34% | 48% | 60% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 4/5 | 6/11 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 26/44 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 80% | 55% | 71% | 86% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 34 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 2/3 | 7/10 | 7/10 | 3/4 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 67% | 70% | 70% | 75% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
| Muchova | |||||||
| R1 Sanders |
R2 Frech |
R3 Townsend |
R4 Wang |
1/4 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-60 6-3 | 6-3 5-7 6-1 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 22 | 28 | 15 | 99 | |
| pts | 54-29 | 60-46 | 82-62 | 108-88 | 73-49 | 377-274 | |
| Total points | 83 | 106 | 144 | 196 | 122 | 651 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 35 | 40 | 28 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 30/54 | 46/73 | 62/108 | 47/67 | 213/344 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 56% | 63% | 57% | 70% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 24/30 | 35/46 | 40/62 | 28/47 | 147/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 80% | 76% | 65% | 60% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 14/24 | 17/27 | 18/46 | 12/20 | 69/131 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 63% | 39% | 60% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/4 | 2/5 | 9/13 | 6/11 | 26/41 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | 40% | 69% | 55% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 5/11 | 10/11 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 83% | 45% | 91% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Madison KeysKeys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
