Andrey Rublev and Arthur Rinderknech will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.175
Arthur Rinderknech -> 4.95
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Arthur Rinderknech
There is no head to head record between Andrey Rublev and Arthur Rinderknech since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev reached the 3rd round after beating Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-65 6-1 and Gael Monfils 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match, Rublev scored 116 points vs Monfils’s 92. Rublev was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (45/60) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Andrey broke Monfils 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (404-222). 15-9 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a compiled 152-82 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has an aggregate 42-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Arthur Rinderknech
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-33 | 16-13 | 6-7 | 12-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 5-9 | 10-6 | 8-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 18-11 | 6-4 | 12-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-30 | 3-3 | 18-10 | 26-15 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, the French player reached the 3rd round after beating Diego Schwartzman 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Matteo Berrettini 6-4 5-3 ret..
In the 2nd round against Berrettini, Arthur had a free pass after Berrettini retired on a 6-4 5-3 . scoreline.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Zug Challenger where he defeated Joris De Loore in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4.
The French player has a compiled 21-22 win-loss record in 2023, 3-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 45 |
| Pts | 233-185 | 170-133 |
| Total Points | 418 | 303 |
| Winners | 94 | 84 |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% |
Both Rublev and Rinderknech played 2 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev conceded 1 set while Arthur Rinderknech hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set more than Rinderknech (7 vs 6). Therefore, Rublev played 20 games more than Rinderknech. Rublev scored 94 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 84 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 13 |
| 1st in | 120/194 | 99/144 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 94/120 | 84/99 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 40/74 | 20/45 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 44% |
Rublev recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Rinderknech fired 26 aces (13 per match). Rublev won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 6 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 6/21 |
| % Converted | 43% | 29% |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 56% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The Russian broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. Arthur was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Rublev | ||||
| R1 Cazaux |
R2 Monfils |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 35 | 65 | |
| pts | 117-93 | 116-92 | 233-185 | |
| Total points | 210 | 208 | 418 | |
| Winners | 49 | 45 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 60/96 | 120/194 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 49/60 | 45/60 | 94/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 21/36 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/14 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 40% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Rinderknech | ||||
| R1 Schwartzman |
R2 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 5-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 18 | 45 | |
| pts | 93-69 | 77-64 | 170-133 | |
| Total points | 162 | 141 | 303 | |
| Winners | 44 | 40 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 52% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 19 | 7 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/80 | 48/64 | 99/144 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 75% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 40/48 | 84/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 5/16 | 20/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 31% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/10 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 20% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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