The world no. 2 seems to be in an ominous form and has advanced to the semifinals without losing a set in the tournament. He defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1 6-1, Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 6-1, and Guido Pella 7-6 6-3 to advance to the semifinals. With his current form, he seems all set to win his 12th Monte Carlo Masters tournament.
The Italian just survived against Russian Qualifier Andrey Rublev 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the first round. It was easy in the 2nd round for Fognini as he received a walkover against Gilles Simon. Fognini played hard to defeat Sascha Zverev 7-6 6-1 and Borna Coric 6-1 3-6 2-6. His next challenge will be the hardest against the second seed Nadal and he will need to produce his best tennis against the Spaniard to move ahead in the tournament.
H2H Rafael Nadal vs. Fabio Fognini
Rafael Nadal is an eleven-time champion and is the hot favourite to win the tournament. Nadal and Fognini will face off for the 15th time. In their last 14 encounters, Nadal leads Fognini in head to head match 11-3. Most importantly, he has won his last 6 matches against Fognini. Nadal is yet to drop a set in the tournament. Fognini, however, has managed to win twice on clay and will be hoping to score his 3rd win against Nadal.
According to bet365, Nadal is the favorite to win the match. See quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded, but coming soon)