Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the final of the National Bank Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.39
Alex De Minaur -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in 2022.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Madrid 04-May-2022
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 71-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 11-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the Italian reached the final after defeating Matteo Berrettini 6-4 6-3, Andy Murray w/o, Gael Monfils 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Tommy Paul 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 71 points vs Paul’s 63. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 46% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Paul 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (249-109). 17-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled87-38 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.
Sinner has an aggregate 40-11 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-20 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-8 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Alex reached the final after defeating Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-4, Gabriel Diallo 6-4 7-5, Taylor Fritz 7-67 4-6 6-1, Daniil Medvedev 7-67 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Alex had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-1 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 59 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 40. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 14 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur recorded 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 47% of his first serves in, winning 56% (14/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Davidovich Fokina 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
De Minaur has a composed 32-16 win-loss record in 2023, 19-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 115 |
| Pts | 222-201 | 408-341 |
| Total Points | 423 | 749 |
| Winners | 95 | 143 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Sinner played 3 matches while De Minaur competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than De Minaur (7 vs 11). Therefore, Sinner played 47 games less than De Minaur. Jannik scored 95 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian made 143 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st in | 117/222 | 200/368 |
| %1st in | 53% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 95/117 | 143/200 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 49/105 | 93/168 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 55% |
Sinner struck 19 aces (6.3 per match). De Minaur struck 16 aces (3.2 per match). Sinner won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 22 |
| Converted | 10/18 | 22/44 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 20 | 37 |
| Saved | 15 | 25 |
| % Saved | 75% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 12 |
Sinner broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. De Minaur broke his opponents 22 times with a 50% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||
| R2 Berrettini |
R3 Murray |
1/4 Monfils |
1/2 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | w/o | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | – | 29 | 20 | 68 | |
| pts | 62-51 | – | 89-87 | 71-63 | 222-201 | |
| Total points | 113 | – | 176 | 134 | 423 | |
| Winners | 34 | – | 36 | 25 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 55% | – | 40% | 35% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | – | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 41/63 | – | 44/89 | 32/70 | 117/222 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | – | 49% | 46% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 34/41 | – | 36/44 | 25/32 | 95/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | – | 82% | 78% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | – | 21/45 | 16/38 | 49/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | – | 47% | 42% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | – | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | – | 3/4 | 5/10 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | – | 75% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | – | 2 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | – | 0/2 | 8/11 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 0% | 73% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| De Minaur | |||||||
| R1 Norrie |
R2 Diallo |
R3 Fritz |
1/4 Medvedev |
1/2 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | 7-67 4-6 6-1 | 7-67 7-5 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 30 | 25 | 16 | 115 | |
| pts | 74-64 | 78-65 | 108-97 | 89-75 | 59-40 | 408-341 | |
| Total points | 138 | 143 | 205 | 164 | 99 | 749 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 32% | 39% | 24% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 39/69 | 50/99 | 44/77 | 25/53 | 200/368 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 57% | 51% | 57% | 47% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 28/39 | 35/50 | 35/44 | 14/25 | 143/200 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 72% | 70% | 80% | 56% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 18/30 | 29/49 | 15/33 | 15/28 | 93/168 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 59% | 45% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/12 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 7/9 | 22/44 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 78% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 37 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/5 | 12/15 | 1/4 | 6/9 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 80% | 25% | 67% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LLLLLWWWLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-0) – H2H and prediction
