Elena Rybakina and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the quarter of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on Court Central. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.55
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Daria Kasatkina face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Kasatkina won 1-6 6-2 6-0 in the 1st round in San Jose back in 2022.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-4 | 22-4 | 6-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Jennifer Brady 6-73 7-65 6-3 and Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 58 points vs Stephens’s 42. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was quite effective on serve to win 71% (17/24) of her 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Kazakhstani broke Stephens 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (281-126). 23-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an overall119-60 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she overcame Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..
Elena has a compiled 39-9 win-loss record in 2023, 23-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-9 | 12-8 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Darya reached the quarter after beating Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2, Anna Blinkova 6-2 7-5 and Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-3 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 57 points vs Bouzkova’s 48. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina made 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 76% of her first serves in, winning 60% (25/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Bouzkova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
Kasatkina has an overall 27-18 win-loss record in 2023, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 57 |
| Pts | 174-148 | 206-161 |
| Total Points | 322 | 367 |
| Winners | 65 | 84 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Rybakina played 2 matches while Kasatkina competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina conceded 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (5 vs 6). Therefore, Rybakina played 4 games less than Kasatkina. Rybakina scored 65 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 84 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 1 |
| 1st in | 87/158 | 142/200 |
| %1st in | 55% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 65/87 | 84/142 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 39/71 | 25/58 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 43% |
Rybakina blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Kasatkina scored 3 aces (1 per match). Rybakina won 75% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 19 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 19/29 |
| % Converted | 47% | 66% |
| Conceded | 8 | 34 |
| Saved | 4 | 23 |
| % Saved | 50% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 11 |
Elena broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponents 19 times with a 66% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Brady |
R3 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 18 | 53 | |
| pts | 116-106 | 58-42 | 174-148 | |
| Total points | 222 | 100 | 322 | |
| Winners | 48 | 17 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 29% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 2 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 63/109 | 24/49 | 87/158 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 49% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 48/63 | 17/24 | 65/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 15/25 | 39/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 60% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/10 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Mertens |
R2 Blinkova |
R3 Bouzkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 19 | 57 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 79-61 | 57-48 | 206-161 | |
| Total points | 122 | 140 | 105 | 367 | |
| Winners | 27 | 32 | 25 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 42/61 | 58/84 | 42/55 | 142/200 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 76% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 27/42 | 32/58 | 25/42 | 84/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 55% | 60% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 8/26 | 7/13 | 25/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 31% | 54% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 9/13 | 5/8 | 19/29 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 69% | 63% | 66% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 19 | 6 | 34 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 13/19 | 3/6 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 68% | 50% | 98% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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WWLWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Jared DonaldsonDonaldson – Feliciano LopezLopez (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-2 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin AndersonAnderson – Hyeon ChungChung (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/Bruno SoaresMurray/Bruno Soares – Marcelo Demoliner/Sam QuerreyDemoliner/Sam Querrey (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ryan HarrisonHarrison (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Belinda BencicBencic (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
