Tommy Paul and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the quarter of the Abierto de Tenis Mifel for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:30 pm on ESTADIO MEXTENIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.615
Tommy Paul -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 5th time that Tommy Paul and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the final in Acapulco back in March 2023.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Tommy Paul – Acapulco 04-March-2023
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-11 | 10-6 | 10-3 | 4-0 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after defeating Felipe Meligeni Alves 7-5 7-67.
In the 2nd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Meligeni Alves (7-5 7-67). During the match, Paul scored 91 points vs Meligeni Alves’s 87. Tommy was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul recorded 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 60% of his first serves in, winning 75% (39/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Meligeni Alves twice after converting 13% of his break points (2/15).
Paul has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (335-193). 16-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a composed162-94 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Tommy’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Tommy has an overall 31-17 win-loss record in 2023, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Los Cabos
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-12 | 15-5 | 10-5 | 4-1 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Alex got to the quarter after defeating Skander Mansouri 6-4 6-4 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-2 6-1). During the match De Minaur scored 55 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 30. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur was pretty efficient on serve to win 86% (19/22) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur broke Agustin Tirante 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
The Australian has an overall 25-15 win-loss record in 2023, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 35 |
| Pts | 91-87 | 127-90 |
| Total Points | 178 | 217 |
| Winners | 39 | 41 |
| %Winners | 43% | 32% |
Paul played 1 match while De Minaur competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Paul has played 2 set(s) less than De Minaur (2 vs 4). Therefore, Paul played 10 games less than De Minaur. Tommy scored 39 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur fired 41 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 52/87 | 48/90 |
| %1st in | 60% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 41/48 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 20/42 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 48% |
Paul blasted 8 aces . De Minaur scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Paul won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 10 |
| Converted | 2/15 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 13% | 50% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 86% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Paul broke his opponent twice with a 13% conversion rate. Paul lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||
| R2 Meligeni |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 91-87 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/87 | 52/87 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 39/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/15 | 2/15 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 13% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Mansouri |
R2 Agustin Tirante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 35 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 55-30 | 127-90 | |
| Total points | 132 | 85 | 217 | |
| Winners | 22 | 19 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 35% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 26/55 | 22/35 | 48/90 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 63% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 19/22 | 41/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 86% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 9/13 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 69% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWW
WWWLWWWWLW 
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