Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADION. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.71
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexei Popyrin
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-10 | 10-8 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 76, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-2, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 7-65 and Jiri Lehecka 3-6 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter against Lehecka, Arnaldi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 84 points vs Lehecka’s 74. Matteo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Lehecka 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (172-99). 23-6 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has a composed115-54 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Matteo has an overall 36-17 win-loss record in 2023, 23-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-7 | 7-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 90, Alexei reached the semifinal after defeating Benjamin Bonzi 6-4 7-5, Sebastian Ofner 6-4 6-1 and Dino Prizmic 7-62 7-5.
In the quarter, Alexei had a good straight sets win against Prizmic (7-62 7-5). During the match Popyrin scored 85 points vs Prizmic’s 77. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Popyrin fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was quite effective on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Prizmic 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Australian has an overall 28-20 win-loss record in 2023, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 64 |
| Pts | 223-193 | 222-187 |
| Total Points | 416 | 409 |
| Winners | 80 | 89 |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% |
Both Arnaldi and Popyrin played 3 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi dropped 1 set while Alexei Popyrin hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set more than Popyrin (7 vs 6). Therefore, Arnaldi played 2 games more than Popyrin. The Italian scored 80 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Popyrin struck 89 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 111/223 | 115/200 |
| %1st in | 50% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 80/111 | 89/115 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 67/112 | 46/85 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 54% |
Arnaldi recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Popyrin bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Arnaldi won 72% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 10/27 |
| % Converted | 50% | 37% |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arnaldi surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Alexei broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 De |
R2 Cobolli |
1/4 Lehecka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-65 | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 27 | 66 | |
| pts | 66-49 | 73-70 | 84-74 | 223-193 | |
| Total points | 115 | 143 | 158 | 416 | |
| Winners | 20 | 30 | 30 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 41% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 26/57 | 45/85 | 40/81 | 111/223 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 53% | 49% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 30/45 | 30/40 | 80/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 75% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 24/40 | 26/41 | 67/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 60% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/2 | 3/9 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 7/8 | 2/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 88% | 50% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Popyrin | |||||
| R1 Bonzi |
R2 Ofner |
1/4 Prizmic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-1 | 7-62 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 25 | 64 | |
| pts | 77-71 | 60-39 | 85-77 | 222-187 | |
| Total points | 148 | 99 | 162 | 409 | |
| Winners | 31 | 23 | 35 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 40/76 | 28/45 | 47/79 | 115/200 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 62% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 23/28 | 35/47 | 89/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 82% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 11/17 | 17/32 | 46/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 65% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/5 | 3/10 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 80% | 30% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 50% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Umag
- Blaz Rola/Nino SerdarusicRola/Nino Serdarusic – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-0) – H2H and prediction
