Heather Watson and Yuliya Hatouka will play each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Poland Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.48
Yuliya Hatouka -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Heather Watson vs. Yuliya Hatouka
There is no head to head record between Heather Watson and Yuliya Hatouka since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-20 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146, Watson reached the 2nd round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, Heather had a good straight sets win against Siniakova (7-5 6-2). During the match, Watson scored 69 points vs Siniakova’s 47. Watson was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Watson fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Heather Watson lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Siniakova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Watson has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (254-218). 12-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Watson has an aggregate 143-123 record in the last years on hard.
Watson’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the W25 Glasgow and the W40+H Calvi.
Heather has an aggregate 24-16 win-loss record in 2023, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
Watson has never competed in this tournament before.
Yuliya Hatouka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-21 | 10-6 | 17-9 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 11-10 | 8-8 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-16 | 13-7 | 2-4 | 25-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 33-6 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 240, Hatouka reached the 2nd round after beating Kateryna Volodko 6-1 6-1, Valeria Savinykh 4-6 6-4 6-2 and Jessika Ponchet 6-4 3-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Yuliya defeated Ponchet (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match Hatouka scored 97 points vs Ponchet’s 95. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Hatouka made 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Yuliya Hatouka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Hatouka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. Yuliya broke Ponchet 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Her best result of the season was conquering the title the W60 Grado where she beat Lucie Havlickova in the final 2-6 6-3 6-1.
Hatouka has a composed 26-15 win-loss record in 2023, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Warsaw
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watson | Hatouka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 73 |
| Pts | 69-47 | 260-213 |
| Total Points | 116 | 473 |
| Winners | 25 | 93 |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% |
Watson played 1 match while Hatouka competed in 3 matches. Hatouka started her run from the qualifications while Watson had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Yuliya Hatouka lost 2 sets while Heather Watson hasn’t conceded a set so far. Watson has played 6 set(s) less than Hatouka (2 vs 8). Therefore, Watson played 53 games less than Hatouka. Watson scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Yuliya struck 93 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watson | Hatouka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 124/210 |
| %1st in | 63% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 93/124 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 44/86 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 51% |
Watson bagged 2 aces . Hatouka managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Watson won 68% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Hatouka won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watson | Hatouka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 15 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 15/32 |
| % Converted | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded | 4 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Watson broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Brit conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Belarussian broke her opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Yuliya conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Watson | |||
| R1 Siniakova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 69-47 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 37/59 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 25/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Hatouka | |||||
| Q1 Bondarenko |
Q3 Savinykh |
R1 Ponchet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 28 | 31 | 73 | |
| pts | 60-28 | 103-90 | 97-95 | 260-213 | |
| Total points | 88 | 193 | 192 | 473 | |
| Winners | 23 | 35 | 35 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 26/34 | 45/84 | 53/92 | 124/210 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 54% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 35/45 | 35/53 | 93/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 78% | 66% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/8 | 21/39 | 18/39 | 44/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 54% | 46% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/8 | 6/12 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 50% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 11 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/8 | 6/11 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 55% | 130% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWLW
LWLLLWLWWW Tennis Scores in Warsaw
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yanina WickmayerWickmayer – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-73 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aljaz BedeneBedene – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-2 5-7 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Pablo AndujarAndujar (4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Gastao EliasElias (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (4-6 6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Claire LiuLiu – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoria KuzmovaKuzmova – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Heather WatsonWatson – Yuliya HatoukaHatouka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Jodie Anna BurrageAnna Burrage (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
