Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev will fight against each other in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.49
Daniil Medvedev -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-2 in the final in Indian wells back in March 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – Indian wells 19-March-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-9 | 21-4 | 17-4 | 4-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz got to the semifinal after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-0 6-2 7-5, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-62 6-3, Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5, Matteo Berrettini 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 and Holger Rune 7-63 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Rune (7-63 6-4 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 103 points vs Rune’s 86. Carlos was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 71% (25/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Rune twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (213-55). 10-0 on grass in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has an overall14-2 match record in the last 6 years on grass.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Spaniard has a composed 45-4 win-loss record in 2023, 10-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-17 | 27-8 | 11-5 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Arthur Fery 7-5 6-4 6-3, Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-3 7-65, Marton Fucsovics 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4, Jiri Lehecka 6-4 6-2 ret. and Christopher Eubanks 6-4 1-6 4-6 7-64 6-1.
In the quarter, Medvedev had a tough win against Eubanks to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 1-6 4-6 7-64 6-1). During the match Medvedev scored 150 points vs Eubanks’s 133. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 68 winners.
About the serving games, Medvedev buried his opponent with 28 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (68/86) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Russian broke Eubanks 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Medvedev has an aggregate 46-8 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 17 | 18 |
| Tot Games | 170 | 166 |
| Pts | 611-499 | 563-476 |
| Total Points | 1110 | 1039 |
| Winners | 261 | 263 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Alcaraz and Medvedev played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 2 sets, while Daniil Medvedev dropped 3 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Medvedev (17 vs 18). However, it’s interesting to notice that Alcaraz played 4 games more than Medvedev. The Spaniard scored 261 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 263 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 57 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 11.4 |
| 1st in | 332/531 | 332/483 |
| %1st in | 63% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 261/332 | 263/332 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 118/199 | 76/151 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 50% |
Alcaraz recorded 35 aces (7 per match). Medvedev made 57 aces (11.4 per match). Alcaraz won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 21 |
| Converted | 20/61 | 21/52 |
| % Converted | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded | 21 | 22 |
| Saved | 17 | 14 |
| % Saved | 81% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Carlos broke his opponents 20 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 21 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Muller |
R3 Jarry |
R4 Berrettini |
1/4 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-76 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 43 | 36 | 33 | 170 | |
| pts | 104-63 | 124-105 | 158-142 | 122-103 | 103-86 | 611-499 | |
| Total points | 167 | 229 | 300 | 225 | 189 | 1110 | |
| Winners | 38 | 53 | 72 | 53 | 45 | 261 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 46% | 43% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 70/109 | 93/151 | 67/106 | 57/92 | 332/531 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 62% | 63% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 53/70 | 72/93 | 53/67 | 45/57 | 261/332 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 77% | 79% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 23/39 | 30/58 | 23/39 | 25/35 | 118/199 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 52% | 59% | 71% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/14 | 5/14 | 4/16 | 2/3 | 20/61 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 36% | 25% | 67% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/6 | 5/7 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Medvedev | |||||||
| R1 Fery |
R2 Mannarino |
R3 Fucsovics |
R4 Lehecka |
1/4 Eubanks |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 7-65 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 ret. | 6-4 1-6 4-6 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 47 | 166 | |
| pts | 104-84 | 110-90 | 129-117 | 70-52 | 150-133 | 563-476 | |
| Total points | 188 | 200 | 246 | 122 | 283 | 1039 | |
| Winners | 44 | 49 | 74 | 28 | 68 | 263 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 57% | 40% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 57 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 56/87 | 64/98 | 97/127 | 29/47 | 86/124 | 332/483 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 76% | 62% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 44/56 | 49/64 | 74/97 | 28/29 | 68/86 | 263/332 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 77% | 76% | 97% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 17/34 | 12/30 | 8/18 | 24/38 | 76/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 63% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/11 | 3/8 | 3/14 | 4/7 | 21/52 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 38% | 21% | 57% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 80% | – | 57% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWLWWWLLLW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Holger RuneRune (7-63 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 1-6 4-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Tallon Griekspoor/Bart StevensGriekspoor/Bart Stevens (6-73 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Ariel Behar/Adam PavlasekBehar/Adam Pavlasek (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-4 3-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Andrey RublevRublev (4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
