Mathias Bourgue and Julian Ocleppo will play each other in the qualifications of the Modena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Julian Ocleppo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Julian Ocleppo is the pick to win this match.
Julian Ocleppo -> 1.87
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Julian Ocleppo
There is no head to head record between Mathias Bourgue and Julian Ocleppo since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 310, the French player got to the qualifications after defeating Gabriele Piraino 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Piraino (6-3 6-2). During the match, Bourgue scored 62 points vs Piraino’s 39. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bourgue fired 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Mathias Bourgue was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (30/34) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mathias broke Piraino 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Bourgue has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (350-228). 14-7 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bourgue has a compiled 195-125 match record in the last years on clay.
Bourgue’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sabadell.
The French player has an overall 25-14 win-loss record in 2023, 14-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Modena Challenger
Bourgue has never competed in this tournament before.
Julian Ocleppo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 37-18 | 3-2 | 32-15 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2019 | 38-32 | 13-7 | 17-20 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 465, the Italian got to the qualifications after defeating Duje Ajdukovic 6-1 7-65.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ajdukovic (6-1 7-65). During the match Ocleppo scored 69 points vs Ajdukovic’s 49. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Ocleppo recorded 4 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Julian Ocleppo was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Ajdukovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Julian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Reggio Emilia and M15 Frascati.
The Italian has an overall 28-10 win-loss record in 2023, 26-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bourgue | Ocleppo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
| Pts | 62-39 | 69-49 |
| Total Points | 101 | 118 |
| Winners | 30 | 27 |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% |
Both Bourgue and Ocleppo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bourgue and Ocleppo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bourgue played 3 games less than Ocleppo. The French player scored 30 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 27 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bourgue | Ocleppo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 34/44 | 33/54 |
| %1st in | 77% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 27/33 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 16/21 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 76% |
Bourgue scored 5 aces . Ocleppo managed to score 4 aces . Bourgue won 88% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Ocleppo won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 76% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bourgue | Ocleppo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Mathias quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Julian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bourgue | |||
| Q1 Piraino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 62-39 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/44 | 34/44 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 30/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ocleppo | |||
| Q1 Ajdukovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 69-49 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/54 | 33/54 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 27/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/21 | 16/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLWLLL
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