Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasia Potapova will square off in the semifinal of the Rothesay Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Ann Jones Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.666
Anastasia Potapova -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Anastasia Potapova
There is no head to head record between Jelena Ostapenko and Anastasia Potapova since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-20 | 8-14 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Jelena reached the semifinal after defeating Linda Noskova 6-2 5-7 6-1, Venus Williams 6-3 5-7 6-3 and Magdalena Frech 4-6 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter against Frech, Ostapenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Ostapenko scored 105 points vs Frech’s 95. The Latvian was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko scored 8 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 54% of her first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (23/46) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Frech 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko has dropped 3 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (310-197). 3-0 on grass in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an overall 43-19 record in the last years on grass.
Jelena’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Rome.
Ostapenko has an aggregate 22-12 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Birmingham
Anastasia Potapova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-16 | 10-11 | 6-3 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21 (career-high), the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-76 7-5 6-4, Caty McNally 3-6 6-2 7-60 and Harriet Dart 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Dart, Potapova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Potapova scored 100 points vs Dart’s 91. Anastasia was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Potapova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 55% of her first serves in, winning 72% (38/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Dart 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she beat Petra Martic in the final 6-3 6-1.
The Russian has an aggregate 25-12 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Birmingham
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 94 |
| Pts | 314-263 | 330-290 |
| Total Points | 577 | 620 |
| Winners | 116 | 120 |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% |
Both Ostapenko and Potapova played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko conceded 3 sets, while Anastasia Potapova lost 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Ostapenko and Potapova have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Ostapenko played 7 games less than Potapova. Ostapenko scored 116 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 120 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 154/276 | 165/292 |
| %1st in | 56% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 116/154 | 120/165 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 58/122 | 63/127 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 50% |
Ostapenko fired 28 aces (9.3 per match). Potapova fired 5 aces (1.7 per match). Ostapenko won 75% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Potapova won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 14 |
| Converted | 17/38 | 14/40 |
| % Converted | 45% | 35% |
| Conceded | 28 | 23 |
| Saved | 19 | 12 |
| % Saved | 68% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 11 |
Jelena broke her opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jelena surrendered her serve 9 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 14 times with a 35% conversion rate. Anastasia conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R1 Noskova |
R2 Williams |
1/4 Frech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 5-7 6-1 | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | 4-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 30 | 30 | 87 | |
| pts | 97-72 | 112-96 | 105-95 | 314-263 | |
| Total points | 169 | 208 | 200 | 577 | |
| Winners | 35 | 42 | 39 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 8 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 43/80 | 56/95 | 55/101 | 154/276 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 59% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 42/56 | 39/55 | 116/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 75% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 15/39 | 23/46 | 58/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 38% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | 5/10 | 17/38 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 11 | 28 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 8/12 | 8/11 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 73% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Potapova | |||||
| R1 Kostyuk |
R2 McNally |
1/4 Dart |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 7-5 6-4 | 3-6 6-2 7-60 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 30 | 29 | 94 | |
| pts | 119-100 | 111-99 | 100-91 | 330-290 | |
| Total points | 219 | 210 | 191 | 620 | |
| Winners | 51 | 31 | 38 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 28% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 64/108 | 48/88 | 53/96 | 165/292 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 55% | 55% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 51/64 | 31/48 | 38/53 | 120/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 72% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 19/40 | 19/43 | 63/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 48% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 6/25 | 5/12 | 14/40 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 24% | 42% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 | 7 | 23 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/9 | 3/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 33% | 43% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWLL
LWWWLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Birmingham
- Yan SabaninSabanin – Julian OnkenOnken (6-4 6-74 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivan NedelkoNedelko – Baptiste CrepatteCrepatte (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
