Gustavo Heide and Kei Nishikori will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Palmas del Mar Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kei Nishikori who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kei Nishikori is the pick to win this match.
Kei Nishikori -> 1.34
Gustavo Heide -> 3.125
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Kei Nishikori
There is no head to head record between Gustavo Heide and Kei Nishikori since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Gustavo Heide
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-24 | 2-1 | 32-21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 423, the Brazilian got to the semifinal after beating Ji Sung Nam 6-4 6-4, Marius Copil 6-3 6-4, Tristan Schoolkate 7-63 6-3, Alex Rybakov 6-3 6-4 and Bernard Tomic 7-62 6-75 6-1.
In the quarter, The Brazilian defeated Tomic (7-62 6-75 6-1). During the match, Heide scored 111 points vs Tomic’s 95. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Heide managed to score 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gustavo Heide was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (49/61) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Heide broke Tomic 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Heide has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of his matches (83-42). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Heide has an aggregate14-9 record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Brazilian has an overall 13-9 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Palmas del Mar Challenger
Heide has never competed in this tournament before.
Kei Nishikori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-11 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 15-9 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 759, the Japanese got to the semifinal after beating Christian Langmo 6-2 6-4, Mitchell Krueger 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Adam Walton 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, Kei had a good straight sets win against Walton (6-4 6-2). During the match Nishikori scored 61 points vs Walton’s 46. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Nishikori wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Kei Nishikori lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nishikori put 71% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Nishikori broke Walton 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nishikori has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Nishikori has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Heide | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 113 | 63 |
| Pts | 366-293 | 224-176 |
| Total Points | 659 | 400 |
| Winners | 160 | 88 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Heide played 5 matches while Nishikori competed in 3 matches. Heide started his run from the qualifications while Nishikori had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Gustavo Heide dropped 1 set, while Kei Nishikori conceded 1 set. Heide has played 4 sets more than Nishikori (11 vs 7). Therefore, Heide played 50 games more than Nishikori. Heide scored 160 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kei scored 88 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Heide | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 48 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 9.6 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 201/326 | 128/180 |
| %1st in | 62% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 160/201 | 88/128 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 80/125 | 32/52 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 62% |
Heide bagged 48 aces (9.6 per match). Nishikori scored 2 aces (0.7 per match). Heide won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Nishikori won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Heide | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 13 |
| Converted | 13/20 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Heide broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Heide conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kei conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Heide | |||||||
| Q1 Sung Nam |
Q3 Copil |
R1 Schoolkate |
R2 Rybakov |
1/4 Tomic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-63 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 6-75 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 33 | 113 | |
| pts | 61-49 | 58-44 | 76-61 | 60-44 | 111-95 | 366-293 | |
| Total points | 110 | 102 | 137 | 104 | 206 | 659 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 49 | 160 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 47% | 40% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 30/49 | 45/74 | 32/52 | 61/101 | 201/326 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 61% | 61% | 62% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 25/30 | 36/45 | 24/32 | 49/61 | 160/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 80% | 75% | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 12/19 | 16/29 | 14/20 | 24/40 | 80/125 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 63% | 55% | 70% | 60% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 67% | 60% | 60% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nishikori | |||||||
| R1 Langmo |
R2 Krueger |
1/4 Walton |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 18 | 63 | |||
| pts | 71-56 | 92-74 | 61-46 | 224-176 | |||
| Total points | 127 | 166 | 107 | 400 | |||
| Winners | 24 | 37 | 27 | 88 | |||
| %Winners | 34% | 40% | 44% | 39% | |||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |||
| 1st in | 33/49 | 55/75 | 40/56 | 128/180 | |||
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 71% | 71% | |||
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 37/55 | 27/40 | 88/128 | |||
| % 1st pts | 73% | 67% | 68% | 69% | |||
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 13/20 | 9/16 | 32/52 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 65% | 56% | 62% | |||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |||
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/11 | 4/5 | 13/27 | |||
| Converted % | 36% | 45% | 80% | 48% | |||
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 3 | |||
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 50% | 23% | |||
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |||
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLLWWW
WWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Palmas Del Mar Challenger
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Liam DraxlDraxl (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Gustavo HeideHeide – Bernard TomicTomic (7-62 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Michael ZhengZheng – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (6-3 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
