Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will square off in the semifinal of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:45 pm on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.51
Novak Djokovic -> 2.56
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5) in the semifinal in Madrid back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic – Madrid 07-May-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-6 | 13-2 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz got to the semifinal after defeating Flavio Cobolli 6-0 6-2 7-5, Taro Daniel 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 6-1 6-4 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-2 6-1 7-65.
In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-2 6-1 7-65). During the match, Alcaraz scored 102 points vs Tsitsipas’s 68. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Tsitsipas 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 79% of his matches (203-54). 25-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate124-30 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3.
Carlos has a compiled 35-3 win-loss record in 2023, 25-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-7 | 8-3 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Serbian got to the semifinal after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-2 7-61, Marton Fucsovics 7-62 6-0 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-64 7-65 6-2, Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-2 6-2 and Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-60 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter against Khachanov, The Serbian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-60 6-2 6-4). During the match Djokovic scored 146 points vs Khachanov’s 118. Novak was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Djokovic recorded 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (60/78) of his 1st serve and 60% (32/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Serbian broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5).
Novak has an aggregate 25-4 win-loss record in 2023, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2016 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 16 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 135 | 158 |
| Pts | 503-335 | 577-446 |
| Total Points | 838 | 1023 |
| Winners | 203 | 232 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Alcaraz and Djokovic played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set, while Novak Djokovic dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Djokovic have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Alcaraz played 23 games less than Djokovic. Alcaraz scored 203 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Djokovic scored 232 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 3.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st in | 276/392 | 318/495 |
| %1st in | 70% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 203/276 | 232/318 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 72/116 | 96/177 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 54% |
Alcaraz made 17 aces (3.4 per match). Djokovic made 31 aces (6.2 per match). Alcaraz won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 34 | 30 |
| Converted | 34/71 | 30/61 |
| % Converted | 48% | 49% |
| Conceded | 22 | 38 |
| Saved | 14 | 25 |
| % Saved | 64% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 13 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 34 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 30 times with a 49% conversion rate. Novak conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Daniel |
R3 Shapovalov |
R4 Musetti |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 135 | |
| pts | 96-64 | 105-71 | 101-66 | 99-66 | 102-68 | 503-335 | |
| Total points | 160 | 176 | 167 | 165 | 170 | 838 | |
| Winners | 31 | 45 | 38 | 43 | 46 | 203 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 43% | 38% | 43% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/74 | 62/86 | 58/80 | 56/77 | 58/75 | 276/392 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 72% | 73% | 73% | 77% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 45/62 | 38/58 | 43/56 | 46/58 | 203/276 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 66% | 77% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 15/24 | 15/22 | 10/21 | 11/17 | 72/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 63% | 68% | 48% | 65% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 34 | |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/11 | 7/16 | 7/14 | 6/12 | 34/71 | |
| Converted % | 39% | 64% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 67% | 71% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Djokovic | |||||||
| R1 Kovacevic |
R2 Fucsovics |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
R4 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
1/4 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 7-61 | 7-62 6-0 6-3 | 7-64 7-65 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 7-60 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 28 | 34 | 25 | 41 | 158 | |
| pts | 107-78 | 112-86 | 124-110 | 88-54 | 146-118 | 577-446 | |
| Total points | 185 | 198 | 234 | 142 | 264 | 1023 | |
| Winners | 37 | 40 | 48 | 47 | 60 | 232 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 39% | 53% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 45/81 | 65/99 | 74/114 | 56/70 | 78/131 | 318/495 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 66% | 65% | 80% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 40/65 | 48/74 | 47/56 | 60/78 | 232/318 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 62% | 65% | 84% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/36 | 20/34 | 16/40 | 5/14 | 32/53 | 96/177 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 59% | 40% | 36% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 8/12 | 7/17 | 6/12 | 4/8 | 30/61 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 67% | 41% | 50% | 50% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 38 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/12 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 8/10 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 75% | 38% | 67% | 80% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
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