Jessica Pegula and Elise Mertens will face off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:45 am on Court Philippe-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.38
Elise Mertens -> 3.05
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Mertens won 5-7 7-5 6-0 in the quarter in Dubai back in 2021.
Highlights Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula – Dubai 11-March-2021
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-10 | 11-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the 3rd round after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 6-2 and Camila Giorgi 6-2 ret..
In the 2nd round against Giorgi, Jessica had a free pass after Giorgi retired on a 6-2 . scoreline.
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (269-157). 8-3 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a composed 71-48 match record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
The American has a composed 29-9 win-loss record in 2023, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 9-8 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Belgian got to the 3rd round after beating Viktoria Hruncakova 6-1 6-4 and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-3 7-63.
In the 2nd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Camila Osorio Serrano (6-3 7-63). During the match Mertens scored 80 points vs Camila Osorio Serrano’s 67. Mertens was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens made 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 47% of her first serves in, winning 62% (24/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Camila Osorio Serrano 7 times after converting 58% of her break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mertens hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Monterrey.
Mertens has an aggregate 17-11 win-loss record in 2023, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 39 |
| Pts | 95-69 | 148-118 |
| Total Points | 164 | 266 |
| Winners | 36 | 44 |
| %Winners | 38% | 30% |
Both Pegula and Mertens played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Mertens have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Pegula played 13 games less than Mertens. Jessica scored 36 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian scored 44 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 44/76 | 64/137 |
| %1st in | 58% | 47% |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 44/64 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 11/32 | 28/73 |
| %2nd pts | 34% | 38% |
Pegula scored 2 aces (1 per match). Mertens fired 8 aces (4 per match). Pegula won 82% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 15/25 |
| % Converted | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded | 6 | 25 |
| Saved | 3 | 16 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 9 |
Pegula broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Pegula lost her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Collins |
R2 Giorgi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 8 | 26 | |
| pts | 67-50 | 28-19 | 95-69 | |
| Total points | 117 | 47 | 164 | |
| Winners | 25 | 11 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 12/22 | 44/76 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 11/12 | 36/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 92% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/22 | 5/10 | 11/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 27% | 50% | 34% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 2/5 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Kuzmova |
R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 80-67 | 148-118 | |
| Total points | 119 | 147 | 266 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 6 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 25/54 | 39/83 | 64/137 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 24/39 | 44/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 62% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/29 | 20/44 | 28/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 28% | 45% | 38% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 7/12 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 58% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 14 | 25 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 9/14 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWL
LLWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Donna VekicVekic (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Kayla DayDay – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Diane ParryParry (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Aliona BolsovaBolsova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Simona WaltertWaltert (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Sara ErraniErrani (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-3 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Iryna ShymanovichShymanovich (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Storm HunterHunter (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Mayar SherifSherif (3-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Johan Sebastien TatlotSebastien Tatlot – Adriano QuintiQuinti (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- David PoljakPoljak – Sherif SabrySabry (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Leny MitjanaMitjana – Tadeas ParoulekParoulek (3-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabien ReboulReboul – Filippo BorellaBorella (6-2 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabrizio OrnagoOrnago – Francesco BessireBessire (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Aliona BolsovaBolsova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Kayla DayDay – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Diane ParryParry (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Simona WaltertWaltert (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Donna VekicVekic (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Claire LiuLiu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Julia GrabherGrabher – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Oceane DodinDodin – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Kayla DayDay (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Bernarda PeraPera (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
