Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert will play each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.71
Maria Sakkari -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa Gibert square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Sakkari and Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sakkari won 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the semifinal in Indian Wells back in 2022.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Indian Wells 18-March-2022
Maria Sakkari
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Sakkari got to the 4th round after defeating Arantxa Rus 6-4 6-4 and Rebeka Masarova 3-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Masarova, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 104 points vs Masarova’s 100. Maria was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 17 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Masarova 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (358-216). 2-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a composed 145-76 record in the last years on clay.
The Greek’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz, Doha and Indian Wells.
The Greek has an overall 17-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Paula Badosa Gibert
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 34-16 | 23-9 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Paula reached the 4th round after beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-3 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-3 6-0). During the match Badosa scored 58 points vs Gauff’s 32. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 73% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Gauff 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Paula’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Paula has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sakkari | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
Tot Games | 47 | 44 |
Pts | 174-157 | 160-127 |
Total Points | 331 | 287 |
Winners | 71 | 54 |
%Winners | 41% | 34% |
Both Sakkari and Badosa played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari conceded 1 set, while Paula Badosa Gibert lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sakkari played 3 games more than Badosa. The Greek scored 71 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa made 54 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sakkari | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Aces | 9 | 7 |
Avg per match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
1st in | 107/167 | 82/138 |
%1st in | 64% | 59% |
1st pts | 71/107 | 54/82 |
%1st pts | 66% | 66% |
2nd pts | 32/60 | 29/56 |
%2nd pts | 53% | 52% |
Sakkari recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sakkari won 66% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sakkari | Badosa |
---|---|---|
Won | 8 | 12 |
Converted | 8/22 | 12/24 |
% Converted | 36% | 50% |
Conceded | 27 | 14 |
Saved | 23 | 9 |
% Saved | 85% | 64% |
Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Maria broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Maria surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
Sakkari | ||||
R2 Rus |
R3 Masarova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 47 | |
pts | 70-57 | 104-100 | 174-157 | |
Total points | 127 | 204 | 331 | |
Winners | 29 | 42 | 71 | |
%Winners | 41% | 40% | 41% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
1st in | 41/63 | 66/104 | 107/167 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 63% | 64% | |
1st pts | 29/41 | 42/66 | 71/107 | |
% 1st pts | 71% | 64% | 66% | |
2nd pts | 14/22 | 18/38 | 32/60 | |
% 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 53% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
Converted | 3/8 | 5/14 | 8/22 | |
Converted % | 38% | 36% | 36% | |
Conceded | 7 | 20 | 27 | |
Saved | 6/7 | 17/20 | 23 | |
Saved % | 86% | 85% | 86% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Badosa | ||||
R2 Cocciaretto |
R3 Gauff |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 29 | 15 | 44 | |
pts | 102-95 | 58-32 | 160-127 | |
Total points | 197 | 90 | 287 | |
Winners | 32 | 22 | 54 | |
%Winners | 31% | 38% | 34% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
1st in | 50/94 | 32/44 | 82/138 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 73% | 59% | |
1st pts | 32/50 | 22/32 | 54/82 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 69% | 66% | |
2nd pts | 23/44 | 6/12 | 29/56 | |
% 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 52% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
Converted | 6/14 | 6/10 | 12/24 | |
Converted % | 43% | 60% | 50% | |
Conceded | 11 | 3 | 14 | |
Saved | 7/11 | 2/3 | 9 | |
Saved % | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-63 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Shelby RogersRogers (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Magda LinetteLinette (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Caroline GarciaGarcia (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Rebeka MasarovaMasarova (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Alycia ParksParks (7-6(3) 6-1) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-6(3) 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction