Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.099
Grigor Dimitrov -> 7
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-1 6-3 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov – Paris 03-November-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-11 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 5-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the 3rd round after defeating Emil Ruusuvuori 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Ruusuvuori, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 87 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 85. Carlos was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 69% of his first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Ruusuvuori 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 78% of his matches (192-53). 14-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a compiled113-29 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Spaniard has a compiled 24-2 win-loss record in 2023, 14-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Dimitrov reached the 3rd round after defeating Gregoire Barrere 7-66 7-62.
In the 2nd round, The Bulgarian had a good straight sets win against Barrere (7-66 7-62). During the match Dimitrov scored 86 points vs Barrere’s 76. Dimitrov was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Dimitrov struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 86% (48/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve.
Dimitrov’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Rotterdam.
Dimitrov has a composed 11-7 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 |
| Pts | 87-85 | 86-76 |
| Total Points | 172 | 162 |
| Winners | 44 | 48 |
| %Winners | 51% | 56% |
Both Alcaraz and Dimitrov played 1 match. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set while Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Dimitrov (3 vs 2). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (26). The Spaniard scored 44 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 48 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 10 |
| 1st in | 69/100 | 56/82 |
| %1st in | 69% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 44/69 | 48/56 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 13/26 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Alcaraz blasted 10 aces . Dimitrov scored 10 aces . Alcaraz won 64% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 0 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 0/0 |
| % Converted | 60% | 0% |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 82% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. On the other side, Dimitrov hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. The Bulgarian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points without even conceding a single break point.
| Alcaraz | |||
| R2 Ruusuvuori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 87-85 | 87-85 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 69/100 | 69/100 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 44/69 | 44/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Dimitrov | |||
| R2 Barrere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 86-76 | 86-76 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 56/82 | 56/82 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 48/56 | 48/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/26 | 13/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 0% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
LWWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-611 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-63 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Marcos GironGiron (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alexander BublikBublik (6-1 4-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Oscar OtteOtte (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-76 7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-63 ret.) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Hugo GastonGaston (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Sebastian KordaKorda (7-65 7-67) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alex MolcanMolcan (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (7-66 7-62) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-79 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 3-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Marcos GironGiron (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (7-6(11) 6-4) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6(3) 6-7(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (2-6) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Borna CoricCoric (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Christian GarinGarin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
