Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans will square off in the semifinal of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.059
Daniel Evans -> 9.2
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniel Evans
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in Vienna back in 2021.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel Evans – Vienna 25-October-2021
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-4 | 13-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Nuno Borges 6-3 6-1, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 7-5 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-65 6-4.
In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (7-65 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 85 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 81. Carlos was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 56% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (18/39) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Davidovich Fokina 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 78% of his matches (189-53). 11-1 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed110-29 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2.
Carlos has a composed 21-2 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Daniel Evans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-27 | 11-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 6-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-14 | 11-6 | 0-3 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Daniel reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-3, Karen Khachanov 6-3 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 2-6 7-5 6-3.
In the quarter against Cerundolo, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-3).During the match Evans scored less points (3) than Cerundolo. In fact, the world no. 2 won 88 points vs Cerundolo’s. That means that Evans was more focused during the important points. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Evans scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Evans lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Evans put 57% of his first serves in, winning 58% (29/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Cerundolo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Evans’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.
The Brit has a compiled 8-11 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 67 |
| Pts | 220-180 | 226-208 |
| Total Points | 400 | 434 |
| Winners | 75 | 95 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Both Alcaraz and Evans played 3 matches. At the moment, Daniel Evans dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Evans (6 vs 7). Therefore, Alcaraz played 7 games less than Evans. Alcaraz scored 75 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel recorded 95 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 112/206 | 142/226 |
| %1st in | 54% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 75/112 | 95/142 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 51/94 | 47/84 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Alcaraz recorded 4 aces (1.3 per match). Evans recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Alcaraz won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 10 |
| Converted | 14/28 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 20 | 28 |
| Saved | 13 | 23 |
| % Saved | 65% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Carlos broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alcaraz lost his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Evans broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Borges |
R3 Bautista-Agut |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 23 | 60 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 79-65 | 85-81 | 220-180 | |
| Total points | 90 | 144 | 166 | 400 | |
| Winners | 16 | 26 | 33 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 33% | 39% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 21/43 | 42/75 | 49/88 | 112/206 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 56% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 16/21 | 26/42 | 33/49 | 75/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 62% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 18/33 | 18/39 | 51/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 55% | 46% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/10 | 4/11 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 50% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/7 | 8/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 57% | 73% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| Evans | |||||
| R2 Arnaldi |
R3 Khachanov |
1/4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 29 | 67 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 62-52 | 88-91 | 226-208 | |
| Total points | 141 | 114 | 179 | 434 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | 29 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 53% | 33% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 45/68 | 50/87 | 142/226 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 33/45 | 29/50 | 95/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 73% | 58% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 14/23 | 20/37 | 47/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 61% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/3 | 5/10 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 13 | 28 | |
| Saved | 10/10 | 5/5 | 8/13 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 62% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWWWW
LLLLWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Daniel EvansEvans – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-67 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniel EvansEvans (1-0) – H2H and prediction
