Matteo Berrettini and Francisco Cerundolo will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.78
Francisco Cerundolo -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Francisco Cerundolo
There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Francisco Cerundolo since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Matteo got to the 2nd round after defeating Maxime Cressy 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Cressy (6-4 6-2). During the match, Berrettini scored 68 points vs Cressy’s 50. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Cressy 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (288-143). 1-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an aggregate 82-40 record in the last years on clay.
Berrettini’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Australia.
Matteo has a composed 8-7 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Francisco Cerundolo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-25 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, Cerundolo reached the 2nd round after beating Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-3 6-4). During the match Cerundolo scored 56 points vs Norrie’s 42. Cerundolo was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Cerundolo recorded 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Francisco Cerundolo was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Norrie 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Cerundolo has a composed 12-9 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 |
| Pts | 68-50 | 56-42 |
| Total Points | 118 | 98 |
| Winners | 31 | 26 |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% |
Both Berrettini and Cerundolo played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Berrettini played 1 game less than Cerundolo. Berrettini scored 31 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco struck 26 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 42/53 | 29/50 |
| %1st in | 79% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 26/29 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 52% |
Berrettini made 3 aces . Cerundolo recorded 4 aces . Berrettini won 74% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 90% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Berrettini broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Argentine broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Francisco conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||
| R1 Cressy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 68-50 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/53 | 42/53 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 31/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Cerundolo | |||
| R1 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 56-42 | 56-42 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/50 | 29/50 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 26/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWWL
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- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
