Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys will face off in the quarter of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on Credit One Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 10th time that Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 8-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Keys won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in San Diego back in 2022.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Daria Kasatkina – San Diego 13-October-2022
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-9 | 12-8 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Darya reached the quarter after defeating Madison Brengle 6-2 6-1 and Bernarda Pera 6-3 7-63.
In the 3rd round, Darya had a good straight sets win against Pera (6-3 7-63). During the match, Kasatkina scored 79 points vs Pera’s 65. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 81% of her first serves in, winning 61% (38/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Pera 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (309-175). 2-0 on clay in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a compiled 109-44 match record in the last years on clay.
Darya’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Kasatkina has an overall 7-8 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the American reached the quarter after defeating Emma Navarro 6-4 6-3, Hailey Baptiste 6-1 6-2 and Magda Linette 6-2 3-6 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Keys defeated Linette (6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match Keys scored 95 points vs Linette’s 81. Madison was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Keys fired 6 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. Keys broke Linette 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Australia where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 6-3 6-2.
Keys has an aggregate 14-5 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 58 |
| Pts | 132-90 | 220-172 |
| Total Points | 222 | 392 |
| Winners | 62 | 92 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Kasatkina played 2 matches while Keys competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys lost 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kasatkina has played 3 set(s) less than Keys (4 vs 7). Therefore, Kasatkina played 21 games less than Keys. Kasatkina scored 62 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 92 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 92/119 | 130/200 |
| %1st in | 77% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 62/92 | 92/130 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 39/70 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Kasatkina made 4 aces (2 per match). Keys bagged 16 aces (5.3 per match). Kasatkina won 67% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 64% | 52% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 4 | 15 |
| % Saved | 50% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Darya broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Keys conceded her serve twice and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R2 Brengle |
R3 Pera |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 37 | |
| pts | 53-25 | 79-65 | 132-90 | |
| Total points | 78 | 144 | 222 | |
| Winners | 24 | 38 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/42 | 62/77 | 92/119 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 81% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 38/62 | 62/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 61% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 7/15 | 15/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 47% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/9 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 56% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Keys | |||||
| R1 Navarro |
R2 Baptiste |
R3 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 24 | 58 | |
| pts | 66-53 | 59-38 | 95-81 | 220-172 | |
| Total points | 119 | 97 | 176 | 392 | |
| Winners | 30 | 24 | 38 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 31/58 | 57/86 | 130/200 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 53% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 24/31 | 38/57 | 92/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 15/27 | 17/29 | 39/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/11 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 57% | 36% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 6/6 | 5/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 83% | 132% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWLW
WWLLWWLW Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Caroline Dolehide/Storm HunterDolehide/Storm Hunter – Leylah Annie Fernandez/Taylor TownsendAnnie Fernandez/Taylor Townsend (6-0 4-6 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Djurabeck KarimovKarimov (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Domagoj BiljeskoBiljesko (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Miljan ZekicZekic (6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (8-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
