Mate Valkusz and Henrique Rocha will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Millennium Estoril Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on ESTÁDIO MILLENNIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mate Valkusz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mate Valkusz is the pick to win this match.
Mate Valkusz -> 1.23
Henrique Rocha -> 3.84
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Prediction and head to head Mate Valkusz vs. Henrique Rocha
There is no head to head record between Mate Valkusz and Henrique Rocha since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mate Valkusz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-7 | 0-1 | 20-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 6-8 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-24 | 5-2 | 23-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 33-14 | 5-5 | 27-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-9 | 4-2 | 27-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 238, Valkusz got to the qualifications after beating Dalibor Svrcina 6-0 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mate had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-0 6-2). During the match, Valkusz scored 73 points vs Svrcina’s 45. Valkusz was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Valkusz scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mate Valkusz lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Valkusz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the 2nd serve. Valkusz broke Svrcina 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Valkusz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of his matches (175-76). 2-2 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Valkusz has a compiled135-44 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Valkusz’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.
Mate has an aggregate 7-6 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Estoril
Valkusz has never competed in this tournament before.
Henrique Rocha
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-29 | 16-9 | 16-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-33 | 10-7 | 27-22 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-27 | 47-11 | 17-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 590 (career-high), Rocha reached the qualifications after beating Ryan Peniston 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Rocha had a good straight sets win against Peniston (6-4 6-1). During the match Rocha scored 60 points vs Peniston’s 42. Henrique was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Rocha scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Henrique Rocha lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 63% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Peniston 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Henrique’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
Henrique has an overall 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Valkusz | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 17 |
| Pts | 73-45 | 60-42 |
| Total Points | 118 | 102 |
| Winners | 23 | 24 |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% |
Both Valkusz and Rocha played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Valkusz and Rocha have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Valkusz played 3 games less than Rocha. The Hungarian scored 23 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Henrique fired 24 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Valkusz | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 35/56 |
| %1st in | 61% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 24/35 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 52% |
Valkusz struck 1 ace . Rocha also blasted 6 aces . Valkusz won 66% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Rocha won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Valkusz | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 40% | 71% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 83% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Hungarian broke his opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Hungarian surrendered his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Valkusz | |||
| Q1 Svrcina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 73-45 | 73-45 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 35/57 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rocha | |||
| Q1 Peniston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 60-42 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 35/56 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 24/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWW
LWWWWWWLLL 
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