Pavel Kotov and Jan-Lennard Struff will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Phoenix Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.39
Pavel Kotov -> 2.82
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
This will be the 2nd time that Pavel Kotov and Jan-Lennard Struff play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Struff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Struff won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in Antalya back in 2021.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 117, Pavel got to the 1st round after defeating Alex Lawson 6-1 6-0 and Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, Pavel had a good straight sets win against Bellucci (6-4 6-3). During the match, Kotov scored 68 points vs Bellucci’s 56. Pavel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pavel Kotov was quite effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kotov broke Bellucci 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kotov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (215-135). 8-7 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kotov has a compiled44-27 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Pavel has an aggregate 8-7 win-loss record in 2023, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-20 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 4-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-15 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 134, the German reached the 1st round after beating Enzo Couacaud 6-4 6-3 and Rinky Hijikata 7-65 6-1.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (7-65 6-1). During the match Struff scored 78 points vs Hijikata’s 61. Jan-Lennard was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Struff recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jan-Lennard Struff was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jan-Lennard broke Hijikata 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Struff’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Manama Challenger.
Jan-Lennard has a compiled 16-6 win-loss record in 2023, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 39 |
| Pts | 125-82 | 156-126 |
| Total Points | 207 | 282 |
| Winners | 49 | 54 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Both Kotov and Struff played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kotov and Struff have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Kotov played 7 games less than Struff. The Russian scored 49 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jan-Lennard managed to score 54 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 65/94 | 68/139 |
| %1st in | 69% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 49/65 | 54/68 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 34/71 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 48% |
Kotov made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Struff fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Kotov won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 43% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 15 |
| Saved | 3 | 11 |
| % Saved | 100% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Pavel broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kotov was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. Struff broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | ||||
| Q1 Lawson |
Q3 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 19 | 32 | |
| pts | 57-26 | 68-56 | 125-82 | |
| Total points | 83 | 124 | 207 | |
| Winners | 20 | 29 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 25/31 | 40/63 | 65/94 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 63% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 29/40 | 49/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/6 | 15/23 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 65% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 3/10 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 30% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Struff | ||||
| Q1 Couacaud |
Q3 Hijikata |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 78-61 | 156-126 | |
| Total points | 143 | 139 | 282 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 33/68 | 35/71 | 68/139 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 27/35 | 54/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 19/36 | 34/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 53% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/8 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 7/9 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 78% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWWL
LWLWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Phoenix Challenger
- Quentin HalysHalys – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (7-65 2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Denis KudlaKudla (7-69 4-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Oscar OtteOtte (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mikael YmerYmer – Radu AlbotAlbot (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Gael MonfilsMonfils (0-0) – H2H and prediction
