Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen will square off in the semifinal of the Lugano Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:30 pm on CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Stricker who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dominic Stricker is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Stricker -> 1.47
Otto Virtanen -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Dominic Stricker vs. Otto Virtanen
This will be the 2nd time that Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Virtanen won 6-4 7-6(5) in the quarter in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2022.
Dominic Stricker
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-15 | 7-6 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-25 | 8-3 | 8-5 | 14-13 | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 2-5 | 8-7 | 22-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 14-7 | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126, Stricker reached the semifinal after beating Raphael Collignon 6-4 2-6 6-2, Gauthier Onclin 6-3 6-3 and Liam Broady 3-6 6-3 7-64.
In the quarter against Broady, Dominic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-64).During the match, Stricker scored less points (1) than Broady. In fact, the world no. 126 won 93 points vs Broady’s. That means that Stricker was more focused during the important points. Dominic was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Stricker managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Dominic Stricker was very effective on serve to win 83% (40/48) of his 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swiss broke Broady once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stricker has conceded 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Stricker has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (82-53). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Stricker has a compiled47-20 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Rovereto Challenger where he defeated Giulio Zeppieri in the final 7-6(8) 6-2.
The Swiss has a compiled 12-3 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Otto Virtanen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-28 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 24-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, Virtanen reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Gigante 6-74 6-3 6-2, Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 2-6 7-65 and Ricardas Berankis 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-4 6-3). During the match Virtanen scored 58 points vs Berankis’s 45. Otto was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Virtanen bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Otto Virtanen was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Otto was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Berankis 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Otto has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Virtanen has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stricker | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 80 |
| Pts | 259-239 | 271-239 |
| Total Points | 498 | 510 |
| Winners | 100 | 116 |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% |
Both Stricker and Virtanen played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Stricker dropped 2 sets, while Otto Virtanen conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Stricker and Virtanen have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Stricker played 5 games less than Virtanen. Dominic scored 100 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Otto blasted 116 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stricker | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 41 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 13.7 | 10.3 |
| 1st in | 134/248 | 153/236 |
| %1st in | 54% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 100/134 | 116/153 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 56/114 | 40/83 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 48% |
Stricker bagged 41 aces (13.7 per match). Virtanen scored 31 aces (10.3 per match). Stricker won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stricker | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 12/33 |
| % Converted | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Saved | 11 | 9 |
| % Saved | 61% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Dominic broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Otto broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Stricker | |||||
| R1 Collignon |
R2 Onclin |
1/4 Broady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 31 | 75 | |
| pts | 90-86 | 76-59 | 93-94 | 259-239 | |
| Total points | 176 | 135 | 187 | 498 | |
| Winners | 32 | 28 | 40 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 14 | 17 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 46/90 | 40/63 | 48/95 | 134/248 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 51% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 32/46 | 28/40 | 40/48 | 100/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | 83% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/44 | 13/23 | 26/47 | 56/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 57% | 55% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 4/7 | 1/4 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 25% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 80% | 80% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Virtanen | |||||
| R1 Gigante |
R2 Krutykh |
1/4 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 2-6 7-65 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 31 | 19 | 80 | |
| pts | 104-86 | 109-108 | 58-45 | 271-239 | |
| Total points | 190 | 217 | 103 | 510 | |
| Winners | 42 | 45 | 29 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 50% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 13 | 10 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 63/101 | 35/50 | 153/236 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 62% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 45/63 | 29/35 | 116/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 17/38 | 9/15 | 40/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 45% | 60% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 3/12 | 3/3 | 12/33 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 100% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/9 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 56% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWWL
LWWLWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Mika BrunoldBrunold (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Liam BroadyBroady (3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Otto VirtanenVirtanen – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
