Sloane Stephens and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the quarter of the ATX Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sloane Stephens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sloane Stephens is the pick to win this match.
Sloane Stephens -> 1.49
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Sloane Stephens vs. Varvara Gracheva
This will be the 3rd time that Sloane Stephens and Varvara Gracheva clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Stephens and Gracheva (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Stephens won 5-7 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Merida back in February 2023.
Highlights Sloane Stephens vs Varvara Gracheva – Merida 23-February-2023
Sloane Stephens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-22 | 8-13 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-20 | 11-14 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-17 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-19 | 6-11 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Stephens got to the quarter after beating Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-3 and Heather Watson 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Stephens had a good straight sets win against Watson (6-4 6-4). During the match, Stephens scored 65 points vs Watson’s 57. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Stephens scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sloane Stephens lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 69% of her first serves in, winning 61% (27/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. Sloane broke Watson 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sloane hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Stephens has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (197-149). 4-4 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Stephens has an overall 113-88 match record in the last years on hard.
Sloane has an overall 4-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Austin
Stephens has never competed in this tournament before.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 88, Gracheva got to the quarter after defeating Magda Linette 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Anna Blinkova 6-3 6-75 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Gracheva defeated Blinkova (6-3 6-75 6-1). During the match Gracheva scored 102 points vs Blinkova’s 81. Varvara was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva bagged 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 65% of her first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Blinkova 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gracheva has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
The Russian has an overall 9-8 win-loss record in 2023, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 58 |
| Pts | 132-105 | 208-183 |
| Total Points | 237 | 391 |
| Winners | 58 | 78 |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% |
Both Stephens and Gracheva played 2 matches. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva lost 2 sets while Sloane Stephens hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Stephens has played 2 set(s) less than Gracheva (4 vs 6). Therefore, Stephens played 20 games less than Gracheva. Sloane scored 58 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Gracheva bagged 78 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 84/120 | 116/193 |
| %1st in | 70% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 58/84 | 78/116 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 16/36 | 36/77 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 47% |
Stephens struck 4 aces (2 per match). Gracheva blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Stephens won 69% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stephens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 13 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 13/22 |
| % Converted | 60% | 59% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 69% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Stephens lost her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Stephens | ||||
| R1 Townsend |
R2 Watson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 65-57 | 132-105 | |
| Total points | 115 | 122 | 237 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 40/56 | 44/64 | 84/120 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 69% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 27/44 | 58/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 61% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 6/20 | 16/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 30% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/10 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Gracheva | ||||
| R1 Linette |
R2 Blinkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-75 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | 58 | |
| pts | 106-102 | 102-81 | 208-183 | |
| Total points | 208 | 183 | 391 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 56/100 | 60/93 | 116/193 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 39/60 | 78/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 17/33 | 36/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 52% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 7/10 | 13/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 70% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 7 | 21 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 3/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 43% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLLW
LLWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Austin
- Michal DembekDembek – Mateusz KowalczykKowalczyk (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pawel CiasCias – Vladyslav OrlovOrlov (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Sloane StephensStephens (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Anna-Lena FriedsamFriedsam (1-0) – H2H and prediction
