Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe will play each other in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:00 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.53
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Frances Tiafoe
This will be the 7th time that Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe play each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Fritz won 7-6(3) 7-6(2) in the final in Tokyo back in 2022.
Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe – Tokyo 09-October-2022
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 31-12 | 3-4 | 6-5 | 13-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American got to the quarter after beating John Isner 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (6-4 6-4). During the match, Fritz scored 64 points vs Shapovalov’s 53. Fritz was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Taylor Fritz lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 56% of his first serves in, winning 97% (28/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Taylor broke Shapovalov 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fritz has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (311-196). 11-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has a composed 189-102 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he beat Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.
Fritz has a compiled 13-3 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-23 | 13-13 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the American reached the quarter after beating Yoshihito Nishioka 7-66 6-4 and Feliciano Lopez 6-2 7-66.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Lopez (6-2 7-66). During the match Tiafoe scored 70 points vs Lopez’s 58. Tiafoe was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Tiafoe recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Frances Tiafoe was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 74% (20/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Lopez twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tiafoe hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-2 0-0 ret..
The American has a compiled 10-2 win-loss record in 2023, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 44 |
| Pts | 146-133 | 149-124 |
| Total Points | 279 | 273 |
| Winners | 75 | 63 |
| %Winners | 51% | 42% |
Both Fritz and Tiafoe played 2 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz surrendered 1 set while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set more than Tiafoe (5 vs 4). Therefore, Fritz played 4 games more than Tiafoe. Fritz scored 75 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 63 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 84/135 | 81/129 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 75/84 | 63/81 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 22/51 | 35/48 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 73% |
Fritz made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Tiafoe recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Fritz won 89% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 63% | 57% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Fritz broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Fritz conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | ||||
| R1 Isner |
R2 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 48 | |
| pts | 82-80 | 64-53 | 146-133 | |
| Total points | 162 | 117 | 279 | |
| Winners | 47 | 28 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 44% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 55/83 | 29/52 | 84/135 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 47/55 | 28/29 | 75/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 97% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/23 | 22/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 48% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/5 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 60% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tiafoe | ||||
| R1 Nishioka |
R2 Lopez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 44 | |
| pts | 79-66 | 70-58 | 149-124 | |
| Total points | 145 | 128 | 273 | |
| Winners | 35 | 28 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/67 | 35/62 | 81/129 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 56% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 28/35 | 63/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 20/27 | 35/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 74% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/3 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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