Holger Rune and Nuno Borges will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.23
Nuno Borges -> 4.2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Nuno Borges
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Nuno Borges since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-13 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Rune reached the 2nd round after defeating Ben Shelton 6-77 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round against Shelton, Rune recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-77 6-4 6-2). During the match, Rune scored 98 points vs Shelton’s 84. Holger was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune recorded 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (42/52) of his 1st serve and 71% (24/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Dane broke Shelton 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Rune has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (171-86). 4-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has an aggregate24-22 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Rune’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier.
Holger has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Rune has never competed in this tournament before.
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-19 | 11-8 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85 (career-high), the Portuguese reached the 2nd round after defeating Nick Chappell 6-3 7-63.
In the 1st round, Nuno had a good straight sets win against Chappell (6-3 7-63). During the match Borges scored 83 points vs Chappell’s 70. The Portuguese was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Borges managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Nuno Borges was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nuno broke Chappell twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Monterrey Challenger where he beat Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(6).
The Portuguese has an aggregate 9-3 win-loss record in 2023, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 |
| Pts | 98-84 | 83-70 |
| Total Points | 182 | 153 |
| Winners | 42 | 35 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Rune and Borges played 1 match. At the moment, Holger Rune surrendered 1 set while Nuno Borges hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rune has played 1 set more than Borges (3 vs 2). Therefore, Rune played 9 games more than Borges. The Dane scored 42 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Borges scored 35 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 52/86 | 49/75 |
| %1st in | 60% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 42/52 | 35/49 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 24/34 | 17/26 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 65% |
Rune fired 5 aces . Borges struck 4 aces . Rune won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 44% | 25% |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Dane broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Rune dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Borges conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-77 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 98-84 | 98-84 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/86 | 52/86 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 42/52 | 42/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/34 | 24/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Borges | |||
| R1 Chappell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 83-70 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/75 | 49/75 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 35/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWL
LLWLWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Nick ChappellChappell (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 7-63 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Ben SheltonShelton (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Emilio GomezGomez (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-74 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Guido AndreozziAndreozzi (6-4 4-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Feliciano LopezLopez – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – John IsnerIsner (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – Marcos GironGiron (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Nick ChappellChappell (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 7-6(3) 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Feliciano LopezLopez – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Tommy PaulPaul (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
