James McCabe and Dayne Kelly will square off in the 2nd round of the Burnie Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James McCabe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James McCabe is the pick to win this match.
James McCabe -> 1.68
Dayne Kelly -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head James McCabe vs. Dayne Kelly
This will be the 2nd time that James McCabe and Dayne Kelly fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for McCabe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, McCabe won 3-6 7-6(9) 7-5 in the quarter in M25 Canberra back in 2022.
James McCabe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-13 | 14-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 386 (career-high), James got to the 2nd round after beating Omar Jasika 6-3 7-61.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Jasika (6-3 7-61). During the match, McCabe scored 84 points vs Jasika’s 68. McCabe was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, McCabe blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. James McCabe lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, McCabe put 61% of his first serves in, winning 82% (37/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. McCabe broke Jasika twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
McCabe has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (58-34). 2-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, McCabe has an aggregate49-26 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
James has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Burnie Challenger
James has never competed in this tournament before.
Dayne Kelly
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22-12 | 18-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-23 | 33-21 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-12 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-7 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 41-17 | 35-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 439, Dayne got to the 2nd round after beating Naoki Nakagawa 3-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round against Nakagawa, Dayne recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Kelly scored 88 points vs Nakagawa’s 77. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Kelly scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Dayne Kelly lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kelly put 71% of his first serves in, winning 61% (35/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Dayne broke Nakagawa 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Kelly has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McCabe | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 |
| Pts | 84-68 | 88-77 |
| Total Points | 152 | 165 |
| Winners | 37 | 35 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both McCabe and Kelly played 1 match. At the moment, Dayne Kelly lost 1 set while James McCabe hasn’t dropped a set so far. McCabe has played 1 set(s) less than Kelly (2 vs 3). Therefore, McCabe played 4 games less than Kelly. The Australian scored 37 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kelly recorded 35 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McCabe | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 1 |
| 1st in | 45/74 | 57/80 |
| %1st in | 61% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 35/57 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 11/23 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 48% |
McCabe scored 11 aces . Kelly bagged 1 ace . McCabe won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kelly won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McCabe | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 33% | 46% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 83% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
McCabe broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Kelly conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| McCabe | |||
| R1 Jasika |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 84-68 | 84-68 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/74 | 45/74 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 37/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 14/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kelly | |||
| R1 Nakagawa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 88-77 | 88-77 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 57/80 | 57/80 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 35/57 | 35/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 11/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWLW
Tennis Scores in Burnie Challenger
- Adam WaltonWalton – Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Max PurcellPurcell (6-4 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Shinji HazawaHazawa (4-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Jake DelaneyDelaney (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Adam WaltonWalton (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Yuta ShimizuShimizu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Blake EllisEllis – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
