Victoria Azarenka and Elena Rybakina will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.51
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Victoria Azarenka vs. Elena Rybakina

This will be the 2nd time that Victoria Azarenka and Elena Rybakina fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Rybakina won 6-3 6-4 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2022.

Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
20
High
1
LLWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-15 20-10 7-4 0-0 3-1 0-0
2023 23-19 17-13 2-3 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 24-13 18-9 6-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 28-9 18-6 4-1 0-0 6-2 0-0
2020 18-6 11-3 4-2 3-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Azarenka got to the semifinal after defeating Sofia Kenin 6-4 7-63, Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-0, Madison Keys 1-6 6-2 6-1, Lin Zhu 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, Victoria had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-4 6-1). During the match, Azarenka scored 74 points vs Pegula’s 54. Victoria was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Azarenka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 60% of her first serves in, winning 68% (25/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the 2nd serve. Victoria broke Pegula 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Azarenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (196-87). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Azarenka has a compiled 133-54 record in the last years on hard.

Azarenka has an overall 7-2 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Azarenka's Record

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
5
High
3
WLLWLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 42-11 23-5 12-2 1-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 25, the Kazakhstani reached the semifinal after defeating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 7-5 6-3, Kaja Juvan 6-2 6-1, Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 5-7 6-2, Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-4 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Elena had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-2 6-4). During the match Rybakina scored 67 points vs Ostapenko’s 52. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Rybakina blasted 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Rybakina has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See her history.

Australian Open
Rybakina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

V.Azarenka
E.Rybakina
8h:57
8h:57
Time on court​
7h:14
7h:14
1h:37
1h:37
Last match​
1h:19
1h:19
5
5
Match played
5
5
102
102
Games Played​
102
102
12
12
Set played​​
11
11
379
379
Total points​
342
342
75.8
75.8
Avg point​
68.4
68.4
153
153
Winners
128
128
30.6
30.6
Avg Winners​
25.6
25.6
40%
40%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
35
35
2.4
2.4
Avg Aces
7
7
12
12
Double Faults
10
10
2.4
2.4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
153/214
153/214
1st won total​
128/159
128/159
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
56/121
56/121
2nd won total​
74/133
74/133
46%
46%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
26/57
26/57
BP won
21/38
21/38
5.2/11.4
5.2/11.4
Avg BP won
4.2/7.6
4.2/7.6
46%
46%
Won
!
55%
55%
32
32
Conceded
17
17
6.4
6.4
Avg Conceded
3.4
3.4
12
12
Broken
7
7
2.4
2.4
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
20
20
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Azarenka Rybakina
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 12 11
Tot Games 102 102
Pts 379-307 342-260
Total Points 686 602
Winners 153 128
%Winners 40% 37%

Both Azarenka and Rybakina played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Victoria Azarenka dropped 2 sets, while Elena Rybakina conceded 1 set. Azarenka has played 1 set more than Rybakina (12 vs 11). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (102). The Belarussian scored 153 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Elena bagged 128 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Azarenka Rybakina
Aces 12 35
Avg per match 2.4 7
1st in 214/335 159/292
%1st in 64% 54%
1st pts 153/214 128/159
%1st pts 71% 81%
2nd pts 56/121 74/133
%2nd pts 46% 56%

Azarenka bagged 12 aces (2.4 per match). Rybakina managed to score 35 aces (7 per match). Azarenka won 71% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Azarenka Rybakina
Won 26 21
Converted 26/57 21/38
% Converted 46% 55%
Conceded 32 17
Saved 20 10
% Saved 63% 59%
Times Broken 12 7

Victoria broke her opponents 26 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 12 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Azarenka
R1
Kenin
R2
Podoroska
R3
Keys
R4
Zhu
1/4
Pegula
Total
Score 6-4 7-63 6-1 6-0 1-6 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 2 12
Tot Games 23 13 22 27 17 102
pts 82-71 50-22 70-61 103-99 74-54 379-307
Total points 153 72 131 202 128 686
Winners 39 21 23 45 25 153
%Winners 48% 42% 33% 44% 34% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 0 2 3 0 12
Double Faults 2 0 4 4 2 12
1st in 52/79 27/34 34/58 64/102 37/62 214/335
% 1st in 66% 79% 59% 63% 60% 64%
1st pts 39/52 21/27 23/34 45/64 25/37 153/214
% 1st pts 75% 78% 68% 70% 68% 71%
2nd pts 16/27 4/7 11/24 12/38 13/25 56/121
% 2nd pts 59% 57% 46% 32% 52% 46%
Breaks
Won 2 6 6 7 5 26
Converted 2/10 6/7 6/12 7/15 5/13 26/57
Converted % 20% 86% 50% 47% 38% 46%
Conceded 7 0 7 14 4 32
Saved 6/7 0/0 3/7 9/14 2/4 20
Saved % 86% 43% 64% 50% 49%
Times Broken 1 0 4 5 2 12
Rybakina
R1
Cocciaretto
R2
Juvan
R3
Collins
R4
Swiatek
1/4
Ostapenko
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-2 6-1 6-2 5-7 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 2 11
Tot Games 21 15 28 20 18 102
pts 65-50 56-32 95-75 59-51 67-52 342-260
Total points 115 88 170 110 119 602
Winners 17 21 37 24 29 128
%Winners 26% 38% 39% 41% 43% 37%
SERVE
Aces 5 5 8 6 11 35
Double Faults 4 1 1 1 3 10
1st in 22/55 24/43 45/76 30/54 38/64 159/292
% 1st in 40% 56% 59% 56% 59% 54%
1st pts 17/22 21/24 37/45 24/30 29/38 128/159
% 1st pts 77% 88% 82% 80% 76% 81%
2nd pts 19/33 11/19 20/31 11/24 13/26 74/133
% 2nd pts 58% 58% 65% 46% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 4 4 21
Converted 5/12 4/8 4/6 4/6 4/6 21/38
Converted % 42% 50% 67% 67% 67% 55%
Conceded 4 0 1 4 8 17
Saved 1/4 0/0 0/1 2/4 7/8 10
Saved % 25% 0% 50% 88% 33%
Times Broken 3 0 1 2 1 7

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw