Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera will face off in the semifinal of the Piracicaba Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.74
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tomas Barrios Vera
This will be the 3rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Tomas Barrios Vera won 7-6(3) 7-6(4) in the qualifications in Cordoba back in 2021.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 127, Camilo reached the semifinal after beating Alessandro Giannessi 6-4 3-6 6-1, Jesper De Jong 7-60 6-1 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-65 6-4.
In the quarter, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (7-65 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 73 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 67. Ugo Carabelli was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli made 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (34/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Seyboth Wild twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (251-143). 4-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a composed224-121 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Argentine has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Piracicaba Challenger
Camilo has never competed in this tournament before.
Tomas Barrios Vera
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52-28 | 5-5 | 43-20 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-28 | 6-5 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 4-7 | 42-22 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 3-1 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-27 | 4-6 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 229, the Chilean reached the semifinal after beating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-3 7-5, Francisco Comesana 6-3 6-1 and Hernan Casanova 6-1 6-1.
In the quarter, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Casanova (6-1 6-1). During the match Tomas Barrios Vera scored 55 points vs Casanova’s 27. Tomas Barrios Vera was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomas Barrios Vera bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Barrios Vera was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marcelo was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Casanova 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marcelo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Marcelo has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 51 |
| Pts | 222-188 | 174-119 |
| Total Points | 410 | 293 |
| Winners | 105 | 61 |
| %Winners | 47% | 35% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera played 3 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set while Tomas Barrios Vera hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Tomas Barrios Vera (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 18 games more than Tomas Barrios Vera. Camilo scored 105 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Marcelo scored 61 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 148/223 | 81/148 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 105/148 | 61/81 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 38/75 | 37/67 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Ugo Carabelli recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Tomas Barrios Vera managed to score 3 aces (1 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tomas Barrios Vera won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 15 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 15/20 |
| % Converted | 59% | 75% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 4 |
| % Saved | 62% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 15 times with a 75% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Giannessi |
R2 De Jong |
1/4 Seyboth Wild |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | 7-60 6-1 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 23 | 69 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 69-53 | 73-67 | 222-188 | |
| Total points | 148 | 122 | 140 | 410 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 34 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 58% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/75 | 54/74 | 50/74 | 148/223 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 73% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 40/54 | 34/50 | 105/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 74% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 9/20 | 13/24 | 38/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 45% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/5 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 75% | 40% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 80% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | |||||
| R1 Ribeiro |
R2 Comesana |
1/4 Casanova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 14 | 51 | |
| pts | 65-54 | 54-38 | 55-27 | 174-119 | |
| Total points | 119 | 92 | 82 | 293 | |
| Winners | 23 | 21 | 17 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% | 31% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/61 | 25/51 | 21/36 | 81/148 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 49% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 21/25 | 17/21 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 84% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 14/26 | 11/15 | 37/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 54% | 73% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/7 | 5/5 | 15/20 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 57% | 100% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | – | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLLLL
LWWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Piracicaba Challenger
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Renzo OlivoOlivo (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
