Maria Sakkari and Lin Zhu will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.151
Lin Zhu -> 5.45
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Lin Zhu
This will be the 2nd time that Maria Sakkari and Lin Zhu face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sakkari won 6-3 6-2 in the qualifications in Melbourne back in 2016.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Maria got to the 3rd round after beating Yue Yuan 6-1 6-4 and Diana Shnaider 3-6 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Shnaider, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 114 points vs Shnaider’s 100. Sakkari was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari bagged 7 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Maria Sakkari was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (36/51) of her 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 4 times. The Greek broke Shnaider 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (346-209). 5-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has a composed 161-103 record in the last years on hard.
Sakkari’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Sakkari has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Lin Zhu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-17 | 19-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-19 | 12-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 23-17 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 34-15 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 13-14 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, Zhu reached the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Marino 6-2 6-4 and Jil Teichmann 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Zhu had a good straight sets win against Belen Teichmann (6-2 6-2). During the match Zhu scored 60 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 39. Zhu was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Zhu couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lin Zhu was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lin broke Belen Teichmann 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zhu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
The Chinese has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 34 |
| Pts | 189-154 | 120-80 |
| Total Points | 343 | 200 |
| Winners | 56 | 58 |
| %Winners | 30% | 48% |
Both Sakkari and Zhu played 2 matches. At the moment, Maria Sakkari surrendered 1 set while Lin Zhu hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sakkari has played 1 set more than Zhu (5 vs 4). Therefore, Sakkari played 13 games more than Zhu. Sakkari scored 56 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Lin blasted 58 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 74/134 | 71/98 |
| %1st in | 55% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 56/74 | 58/71 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 31/60 | 13/27 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 48% |
Sakkari struck 10 aces (5 per match). Zhu fired 2 aces (1 per match). Sakkari won 76% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Zhu won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/30 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 57% |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Maria broke her opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Zhu broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Zhu conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | ||||
| R1 Yuan |
R2 Shnaider |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 30 | 47 | |
| pts | 75-54 | 114-100 | 189-154 | |
| Total points | 129 | 214 | 343 | |
| Winners | 20 | 36 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 32% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 23/43 | 51/91 | 74/134 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 56% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 20/23 | 36/51 | 56/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 21/40 | 31/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/17 | 10/30 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 29% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Zhu | ||||
| R1 Marino |
R2 Belen Teichmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 34 | |
| pts | 60-41 | 60-39 | 120-80 | |
| Total points | 101 | 99 | 200 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/49 | 37/49 | 71/98 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 76% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 29/37 | 58/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 7/12 | 13/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 58% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLLWW
LLWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-71 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Clara BurelBurel (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anna BondarBondar (7-65 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Kateryna BaindlBaindl – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-6 7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Bogdan BorzaBorza – Francesco VilardoVilardo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo Urrutia FuentesUrrutia Fuentes – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Petra MarticMartic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-2) – H2H and prediction
