Alex De Minaur and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.16
Adrian Mannarino -> 5.25
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Adrian Mannarino square off. The head to head is 2-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 4-6 6-3 6-0 in the quarter in Atlanta back in 2022.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino – Atlanta 29-July-2022
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-14 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 5-2 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Hsiou Hsu (6-2 6-2 6-3). During the match, De Minaur scored 99 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s 66. De Minaur was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur recorded 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex De Minaur was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. De Minaur broke Hsiou Hsu 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (274-162). 2-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has an overall128-69 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Alex has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-30 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 5-3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Mannarino got to the 2nd round after defeating John Isner 6-75 7-68 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Isner, Adrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-68 6-2 6-2). During the match Mannarino scored 136 points vs Isner’s 111. Mannarino was quite aggressive to blast 70 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino scored 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Adrian Mannarino was very effective on serve to win 92% (70/76) of his 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Adrian broke Isner 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Adrian has a composed 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 42 |
| Pts | 99-66 | 136-111 |
| Total Points | 165 | 247 |
| Winners | 30 | 70 |
| %Winners | 30% | 51% |
Both De Minaur and Mannarino played 1 match. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino surrendered 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Mannarino (3 vs 4). Therefore, De Minaur played 17 games less than Mannarino. De Minaur scored 30 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino struck 70 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 14 |
| 1st in | 35/63 | 76/119 |
| %1st in | 56% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 70/76 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 92% |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 24/43 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 56% |
De Minaur managed to score 8 aces . Mannarino struck 14 aces . De Minaur won 86% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 92% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 43% | 44% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
De Minaur broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. De Minaur had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Adrian broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Adrian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| De Minaur | |||
| R1 Hsiou Hsu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 99-66 | 99-66 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/63 | 35/63 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 30/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 20/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mannarino | |||
| R1 Isner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-68 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 42 | 42 | |
| pts | 136-111 | 136-111 | |
| Total points | 247 | 247 | |
| Winners | 70 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 76/119 | 76/119 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 70/76 | 70/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/43 | 24/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
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