Lucas Gerch and Jay Clarke will face off in the qualifications of the Tenerife 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jay Clarke who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jay Clarke is the pick to win this match.
Jay Clarke -> 1.87
Lucas Gerch -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Jay Clarke
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Jay Clarke since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-21 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-18 | 14-9 | 7-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 281 (career-high), the German reached the qualifications after beating Yannick Mertens 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 6-1). During the match, Gerch scored 60 points vs Mertens’s 39. Lucas was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gerch made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lucas Gerch conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Gerch put 70% of his first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Lucas broke Mertens 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Gerch has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (201-128). 1-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Gerch has a composed54-41 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
The German has an aggregate 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 1 Challenger
Jay Clarke
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-25 | 6-3 | 36-17 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-19 | 10-12 | 21-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-27 | 11-12 | 3-4 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-28 | 7-7 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 294, the Brit got to the qualifications after defeating Kenay Ortiz Gonzalez 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Clarke had a good straight sets win against Ortiz Gonzalez (6-3 6-1). During the match Clarke scored 63 points vs Ortiz Gonzalez’s 43. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
About the serving games, Clarke scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jay Clarke lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Clarke put 64% of his first serves in, winning 55% (16/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. Jay broke Ortiz Gonzalez 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
The Brit has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 |
| Pts | 60-39 | 63-43 |
| Total Points | 99 | 106 |
| Winners | 27 | 16 |
| %Winners | 45% | 25% |
Both Gerch and Clarke played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gerch and Clarke have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gerch played 1 game less than Clarke. The German scored 27 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Jay bagged 16 winners (25%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 29/45 |
| %1st in | 70% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 16/29 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 55% |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 11/16 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 69% |
Gerch struck 3 aces . Clarke struck 4 aces . Gerch won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Clarke won 55% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 83% | 55% |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Lucas broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Lucas very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Brit broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jay conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 60-39 | 60-39 | |
| Total points | 99 | 99 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 35/50 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Clarke | |||
| Q1 Ortiz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 63-43 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 25% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 29/45 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 16/29 | 16/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWW
LLWWLWWLWW
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