Daria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva will square off in the 1st round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on Kia Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.131
Varvara Gracheva -> 5.95
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Varvara Gracheva
This will be the 2nd time that Daria Kasatkina and Varvara Gracheva play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kasatkina won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Melbourne back in 2021.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Kasatkina will start her run at the Australian Open after she played her last match in Adelaide where she lost 6-0 6-2 to Bencic in the final on the 14th of January.
Darya has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Darya’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Talking about her overall career, Darya has an overall 308-171 record. She has a positive 131-93 record on hard.
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016 and 2022. See her history.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-28 | 20-14 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-28 | 13-15 | 15-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Varvara will start her run at the Melbourne after she played her last match in Hobart where she lost 6-1 6-1 to Blinkova in the qualifications on the 7th of January.
Gracheva has an aggregate 1-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of her career, The Russian has an overall 200-135 record. She has a negative 41-45 record on hard.
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
Head 2 Head
Win Loss
Kasatkina
LLLWWLLWLW Gracheva
LWWWLWWLWW
2025
2024
2023
19 - 22
34 - 28
12-13
Hard
20-14
0-0
I Hard
1-3
5-5
Clay
9-8
2-4
Grass
4-3
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Tatjana MariaMaria (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Patricia Maria TigMaria Tig (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Magda LinetteLinette (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Danka KovinicKovinic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Madison BrengleBrengle (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Kateryna KozlovaKozlova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Olivia GadeckiGadecki – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Madison KeysKeys – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Lin ZhuZhu (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
