Frances Tiafoe and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the final of the United Cup for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Ken Rosewall Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.61
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 4th time that Frances Tiafoe and Lorenzo Musetti play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Musetti won 2-6 6-3 7-6(1) in the 2nd round in Acapulco back in 2021.
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Tiafoe reached the final after defeating Tomas Machac 6-3 2-4 ret., Oscar Otte 7-5 6-4, Daniel Evans 3-6 7-5 6-3 and Kacper Zuk 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Tiafoe had a good straight sets win against Zuk (6-3 6-3). During the match, Tiafoe scored 72 points vs Zuk’s 57. Francis was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tiafoe blasted 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Frances Tiafoe conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 61% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Tiafoe broke Zuk 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francis has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Tiafoe has winning record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (305-212). 4-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a composed 141-99 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Francis’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Francis has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Australia
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23 (career-high), Musetti got to the final after beating Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 6-4, Viktor Durasovic 7-67 6-3, Daniel Michalski 6-1 6-1 and Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sakellaridis (6-1 6-1). During the match Musetti scored 53 points vs Sakellaridis’s 31. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (18/25) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Sakellaridis 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Lorenzo’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
Lorenzo has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Australia
Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 69 |
| Pts | 280-246 | 249-161 |
| Total Points | 526 | 410 |
| Winners | 116 | 92 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Tiafoe and Musetti played 4 matches. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tiafoe has played 2 sets more than Musetti (10 vs 8). Therefore, Tiafoe played 16 games more than Musetti. Francis scored 116 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo scored 92 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 149/259 | 116/196 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 116/149 | 92/116 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 61/110 | 54/80 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 68% |
Tiafoe struck 28 aces (7 per match). Musetti recorded 26 aces (6.5 per match). Tiafoe won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tiafoe | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 16 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded | 19 | 6 |
| Saved | 14 | 3 |
| % Saved | 74% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Tiafoe broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Tiafoe dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tiafoe | ||||||
| Round Robin Otte |
Round Robin Machac |
1/4 Evans |
1/2 Zuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 2-4 ret. | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 30 | 18 | 85 | |
| pts | 62-52 | 60-54 | 86-83 | 72-57 | 280-246 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | 169 | 129 | 526 | |
| Winners | 29 | 24 | 32 | 31 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 37% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 36/55 | 46/87 | 37/61 | 149/259 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 65% | 53% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 29/30 | 24/36 | 32/46 | 31/37 | 116/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 97% | 67% | 70% | 84% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 10/19 | 24/41 | 11/24 | 61/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 53% | 59% | 46% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/5 | 4/9 | 3/9 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 44% | 33% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 7/10 | 5/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 70% | 100% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Musetti | ||||||
| Round Robin Durasovic |
Round Robin Meligeni |
1/4 Michalski |
1/2 Sakellaridis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 69 | |
| pts | 85-65 | 60-45 | 51-20 | 53-31 | 249-161 | |
| Total points | 150 | 105 | 71 | 84 | 410 | |
| Winners | 35 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% | 33% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/69 | 31/55 | 18/31 | 25/41 | 116/196 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 56% | 58% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 35/42 | 22/31 | 17/18 | 18/25 | 92/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 71% | 94% | 72% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 15/24 | 11/13 | 12/16 | 54/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 63% | 85% | 75% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 4/4 | 5/9 | 5/9 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 100% | 56% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | – | 100% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-2) – H2H and prediction
