Yoshihito Nishioka and Alexei Popyrin will square off in the quarter of the Adelaide International 1 for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on SHOWCOURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yoshihito Nishioka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yoshihito Nishioka is the pick to win this match.
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 1.61
Alexei Popyrin -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Alexei Popyrin
There is no head to head record between Yoshihito Nishioka and Alexei Popyrin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 16-14 | 0-2 | 10-2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 17-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Nishioka reached the quarter after beating Holger Rune 2-6 6-4 6-4 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Yoshihito had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-4 6-3). During the match, Nishioka scored 69 points vs Mcdonald’s 60. Yoshihito was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nishioka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he committed only 2 double faults. Yoshihito Nishioka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 68% of his first serves in, winning 59% (29/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the 2nd serve. Nishioka broke Mcdonald 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nishioka has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Nishioka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (319-200). 2-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nishioka has a composed 182-106 record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-24 | 7-10 | 9-6 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-22 | 17-8 | 4-8 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 120, Alexei got to the quarter after beating Zhizhen Zhang 6-2 6-3, Yibing Wu 6-4 3-6 7-5, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4 7-65 and Marcos Giron 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Giron, Alexei recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Popyrin scored 87 points vs Giron’s 75. Alexei was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Popyrin managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was very efficient on serve to win 84% (49/58) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexei broke Giron twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Popyrin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Alexei has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nishioka | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 100 |
| Pts | 160-150 | 321-274 |
| Total Points | 310 | 595 |
| Winners | 65 | 154 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Nishioka played 2 matches while Popyrin competed in 4 matches. Popyrin started his run from the qualifications while Nishioka had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Yoshihito Nishioka surrendered 1 set, while Alexei Popyrin lost 2 sets. Nishioka has played 5 set(s) less than Popyrin (5 vs 10). Therefore, Nishioka played 53 games less than Popyrin. The Japanese scored 65 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Popyrin managed to score 154 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nishioka | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 47 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 11.8 |
| 1st in | 103/158 | 194/286 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 65/103 | 154/194 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 33/55 | 52/92 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 57% |
Nishioka didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Popyrin struck 47 aces (11.8 per match). Nishioka won 63% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nishioka | Popyrin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 11/18 |
| % Converted | 47% | 61% |
| Conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 69% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Nishioka broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Yoshihito lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Popyrin broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. Popyrin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nishioka | ||||
| R1 Rune |
R2 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 47 | |
| pts | 91-90 | 69-60 | 160-150 | |
| Total points | 181 | 129 | 310 | |
| Winners | 36 | 29 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 54/86 | 49/72 | 103/158 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 29/49 | 65/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 59% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 17/23 | 33/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 74% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 3/4 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 75% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 100% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Popyrin | ||||||
| Q1 Zhang |
Q3 Wu |
R1 Auger-Aliassime |
R2 Giron |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-4 7-65 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 23 | 29 | 100 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 108-102 | 70-63 | 87-75 | 321-274 | |
| Total points | 90 | 210 | 133 | 162 | 595 | |
| Winners | 23 | 47 | 35 | 49 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% | 50% | 56% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 47 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 65/94 | 45/67 | 58/83 | 194/286 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 69% | 67% | 70% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 47/65 | 35/45 | 49/58 | 154/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 72% | 78% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/16 | 13/29 | 13/22 | 13/25 | 52/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 45% | 59% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 25% | 50% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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