Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International 1 for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on SHOWCOURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.31
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Marta Kostyuk
There is no head to head record between Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Rybakina got to the 2nd round after beating Danielle Rose Collins 5-7 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round against Collins, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 105 points vs Collins’s 87. Elena was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina bagged 14 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 57% of her first serves in, winning 86% (42/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Collins 4 times after converting 24% of her break points (4/17).
Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 67% of her matches (243-117). 1-0 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall97-55 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-20 | 19-13 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Marta got to the 2nd round after beating Cristina Bucsa 7-69 6-4, Mayar Sherif 6-3 6-1 and Jaimee Fourlis 6-1 3-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Marta defeated Fourlis (6-1 3-6 6-4). During the match Kostyuk scored 85 points vs Fourlis’s 77. Marta was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Kostyuk fired 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 56% of her first serves in, winning 66% (25/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Fourlis 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Kostyuk has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Marta has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 65 |
| Pts | 105-87 | 229-196 |
| Total Points | 192 | 425 |
| Winners | 42 | 78 |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Kostyuk competed in 3 matches. Kostyuk started her run from the qualifications while Rybakina had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set, while Marta Kostyuk surrendered 1 set. Rybakina has played 4 set(s) less than Kostyuk (3 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakina played 36 games less than Kostyuk. Rybakina scored 42 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Marta bagged 78 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 49/86 | 111/196 |
| %1st in | 57% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 42/49 | 78/111 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 46/85 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 54% |
Rybakina fired 14 aces . Kostyuk blasted 8 aces (2.7 per match). Rybakina won 86% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/17 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 24% | 46% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 29% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Rybakina broke her opponent 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Elena lost her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 29% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Collins |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 105-87 | 105-87 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/86 | 49/86 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 42/49 | 42/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 18/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 4/17 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Kostyuk | |||||
| Q1 Bucsa |
Q3 Sherif |
R1 Fourlis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 26 | 65 | |
| pts | 87-81 | 57-38 | 85-77 | 229-196 | |
| Total points | 168 | 95 | 162 | 425 | |
| Winners | 33 | 20 | 25 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% | 29% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 8 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 29/54 | 38/68 | 111/196 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 54% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 20/29 | 25/38 | 78/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 69% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 17/25 | 15/30 | 46/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 68% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 4/7 | 6/11 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 57% | 55% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 0% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LLWWWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Peter NagyNagy – Pavel NejedlyNejedly (5-7 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Markus ErikssonEriksson – Viktor FilipenkoFilipenko (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Lukas KleinKlein (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pascal BrunnerBrunner – Mate ValkuszValkusz (5-7 6-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Attila BalazsBalazs – Thomas ColauttiColautti (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Kaia KanepiKanepi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
