Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the semifinal of the the Next Gen ATP Finals for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.75
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima
There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-17 | 15-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Draper got to the semifinal after beating Chun Hsin Tseng 1-4 4-2 4-32 4-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 4-1 4-0 4-33.
In the previous match, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Musetti (4-1 4-0 4-33). During the match, Draper scored 57 points vs Musetti’s 31. Jack was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draper fired 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was quite effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Musetti 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Draper has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (153-66). 26-6 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has an overall56-19 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
The Brit’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Forli 2 Challenger,the Forli 4 Challenger,the Forli 5 Challenger and the St. Brieuc Challenger.
Jack has a compiled 46-18 win-loss record in 2022, 26-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Next Gen ATP Finals
Jack has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-25 | 21-9 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 49, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 2-4 4-37 4-34 3-44 4-2, Jiri Lehecka 4-1 4-32 4-2 and Francesco Passaro 4-34 4-2 4-1.
In the previous match, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Passaro (4-34 4-2 4-1). During the match Nakashima scored 61 points vs Passaro’s 44. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was very effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brandon broke Passaro 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in San Diego where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 6-4 6-4.
Nakashima has a composed 39-26 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Next Gen ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 69 |
| Pts | 131-94 | 223-188 |
| Total Points | 225 | 411 |
| Winners | 61 | 98 |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% |
Draper played 2 matches while Nakashima competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jack Draper surrendered 1 set, while Brandon Nakashima surrendered 2 sets. Draper has played 4 set(s) less than Nakashima (7 vs 11). Therefore, Draper played 29 games less than Nakashima. Jack scored 61 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 98 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 68/106 | 132/204 |
| %1st in | 64% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 61/68 | 98/132 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 21/38 | 41/72 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 57% |
Draper bagged 18 aces (9 per match). Nakashima bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Draper won 90% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 42% | 53% |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 |
| Saved | 2 | 14 |
| % Saved | 67% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Brit broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Brit surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | |||||
| Round Robin Musetti |
Round Robin Hsin |
Round Robin Stephan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-1 4-0 4-33 | 1-4 4-2 4-32 4-2 | 4-35 4-35 4-35 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 24 | 21 | 61 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 74-63 | – | 131-94 | |
| Total points | 88 | 137 | 0 | 225 | |
| Winners | 28 | 33 | 61 | ||
| %Winners | 49% | 45% | 0% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 6 | 0 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 31/43 | 37/63 | / | 68/106 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 59% | 0% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 33/37 | / | 61/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 89% | 0% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 14/26 | / | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 54% | 0% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/3 | / | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 0% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0/ | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | – | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Nakashima | |||||
| Round Robin Passaro |
Round Robin Lehecka |
Round Robin Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-34 4-2 4-1 | 4-1 4-32 4-2 | 2-4 4-37 4-34 3-44 4-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 33 | 69 | |
| pts | 61-44 | 64-48 | 98-96 | 223-188 | |
| Total points | 105 | 112 | 194 | 411 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 48 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/49 | 35/56 | 63/99 | 132/204 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 23/35 | 48/63 | 98/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 66% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 12/21 | 20/36 | 41/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 57% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 3/4 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 75% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/6 | 9/12 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 75% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
