Federico Coria and Daniel Altmaier will face off in the final of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:55 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Altmaier who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Altmaier is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Altmaier -> 1.82
Federico Coria -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Daniel Altmaier
This will be the 4th time that Federico Coria and Daniel Altmaier play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Altmaier (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Altmaier won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in the Lima 2 Challenger back in October 2022.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-28 | 0-3 | 32-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 71, Coria reached the final after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-2 7-66, Facundo Diaz Acosta 3-6 6-1 7-62, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 6-4 6-4 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 2-6 7-64.
In the semifinal, Federico defeated Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 2-6 7-64).During the match, Coria scored less points (5) than Pablo Patino-Samudio. In fact, the world no. 71 won 107 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s. That means that Coria was more focused during the important points. Coria was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 71% of his first serves in, winning 64% (56/88) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Pablo Patino-Samudio twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (469-278). 39-25 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has an aggregate 456-242 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Federico’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Milan Challenger.
Coria has a composed 41-31 win-loss record in 2022, 39-25 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Daniel Altmaier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-30 | 5-9 | 19-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-31 | 8-13 | 21-10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-31 | 10-14 | 22-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-27 | 7-3 | 36-20 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-16 | 12-7 | 13-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, Altmaier got to the final after defeating Thiago Seyboth Wild 1-6 7-65 6-2, Juan Bautista Torres 6-4 6-3, Jesper De Jong 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Marco Cecchinato 7-64 6-4.
In the semifinal, Altmaier had a good straight sets win against Cecchinato (7-64 6-4). During the match Altmaier scored 79 points vs Cecchinato’s 69. Altmaier was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Altmaier struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Altmaier lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Altmaier put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Cecchinato 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Altmaier has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Phoenix Challenger,the Heilbronn Challenger and the Lima 2 Challenger.
The German has a compiled 30-30 win-loss record in 2022, 18-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 96 |
| Pts | 357-337 | 314-280 |
| Total Points | 694 | 594 |
| Winners | 168 | 140 |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% |
Both Coria and Altmaier played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Coria dropped 2 sets, while Daniel Altmaier surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Coria and Altmaier have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Coria played 5 games more than Altmaier. Coria scored 168 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The German fired 140 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 258/359 | 181/285 |
| %1st in | 72% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 168/258 | 140/181 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 53/101 | 59/104 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 57% |
Coria managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Altmaier blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Coria won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Altmaier won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 11 |
| Converted | 14/35 | 11/31 |
| % Converted | 40% | 35% |
| Conceded | 35 | 27 |
| Saved | 25 | 21 |
| % Saved | 71% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
Federico broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Coria lost his serve 10 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Altmaier conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | ||||||
| R1 Comesana |
R2 Diaz |
1/4 Pucinelli De Almeida |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-66 | 3-6 6-1 7-62 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 20 | 31 | 101 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 103-94 | 64-60 | 107-112 | 357-337 | |
| Total points | 154 | 197 | 124 | 219 | 694 | |
| Winners | 32 | 50 | 30 | 56 | 168 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 47% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 54/76 | 73/103 | 43/56 | 88/124 | 258/359 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | 77% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 32/54 | 50/73 | 30/43 | 56/88 | 168/258 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 68% | 70% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/30 | 7/13 | 18/36 | 53/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/11 | 3/9 | 2/6 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 35 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 7/10 | 0/1 | 12/15 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 70% | 0% | 80% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Altmaier | ||||||
| R1 Seyboth |
R2 Bautista |
1/4 De |
1/2 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 96 | |
| pts | 82-79 | 68-56 | 85-76 | 79-69 | 314-280 | |
| Total points | 161 | 124 | 161 | 148 | 594 | |
| Winners | 30 | 31 | 44 | 35 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% | 52% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 39/73 | 38/57 | 53/83 | 51/72 | 181/285 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 67% | 64% | 71% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 31/38 | 44/53 | 35/51 | 140/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 82% | 83% | 69% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/34 | 11/19 | 14/30 | 11/21 | 59/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 58% | 47% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/5 | 3/9 | 4/9 | 11/31 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 40% | 33% | 44% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/2 | 10/11 | 6/9 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 91% | 67% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
