Federico Coria and Juan Pablo Varillas will face off in the semifinal of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:55 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.83
Federico Coria -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Juan Pablo Varillas
This will be the 6th time that Federico Coria and Juan Pablo Varillas square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-4 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Santiago back in 2021.
Highlights Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Coria – Santiago 11-March-2021
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-28 | 0-3 | 32-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 71, the Argentine got to the semifinal after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-2 7-66, Facundo Diaz Acosta 3-6 6-1 7-62 and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Coria had a good straight sets win against Pucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4). During the match, Coria scored 64 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 60. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Federico Coria lost the serve once. Furthermore, Coria put 77% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Pucinelli De Almeida 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (468-278). 38-25 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Coria has a composed 455-242 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Milan Challenger.
Federico has an aggregate 40-31 win-loss record in 2022, 38-25 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Juan Pablo Varillas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-26 | 0-5 | 24-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 127, Pablo Patino-Samudio got to the semifinal after beating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-2 6-1, Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-1 7-63 and Nicolas Kicker 6-1 6-3.
In the quarter, Pablo Patino-Samudio had a good straight sets win against Kicker (6-1 6-3). During the match Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 54 points vs Kicker’s 32. Pablo Patino-Samudio was extremely aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about serving, Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juan Pablo Varillas was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (18/21) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Peruvian broke Kicker 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Peruvian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger and the Campinas Challenger.
The Peruvian has an overall 48-26 win-loss record in 2022, 46-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 51 |
| Pts | 250-225 | 179-119 |
| Total Points | 475 | 298 |
| Winners | 112 | 68 |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% |
Both Coria and Pablo Patino-Samudio played 3 matches. At the moment, Federico Coria surrendered 1 set while Juan Pablo Varillas hasn’t conceded a set so far. Coria has played 1 set more than Pablo Patino-Samudio (7 vs 6). Therefore, Coria played 19 games more than Pablo Patino-Samudio. Coria scored 112 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Peruvian struck 68 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 170/235 | 89/159 |
| %1st in | 72% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 112/170 | 68/89 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 35/65 | 46/70 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 66% |
Coria recorded 3 aces (1 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio made 13 aces (4.3 per match). Coria won 66% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/29 | 12/18 |
| % Converted | 41% | 67% |
| Conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 11 |
| % Saved | 65% | 92% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | |||||
| R1 Comesana |
R2 Diaz |
1/4 Pucinelli De Almeida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-66 | 3-6 6-1 7-62 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 20 | 70 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 103-94 | 64-60 | 250-225 | |
| Total points | 154 | 197 | 124 | 475 | |
| Winners | 32 | 50 | 30 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 54/76 | 73/103 | 43/56 | 170/235 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 32/54 | 50/73 | 30/43 | 112/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 68% | 70% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 14/30 | 7/13 | 35/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/11 | 3/9 | 12/29 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 36% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 7/10 | 0/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 70% | 0% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||||
| R1 Ribeiro |
R2 Guillen Meza |
1/4 Kicker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 7-63 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 16 | 51 | |
| pts | 56-32 | 69-55 | 54-32 | 179-119 | |
| Total points | 88 | 124 | 86 | 298 | |
| Winners | 21 | 29 | 18 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 29/44 | 39/70 | 21/45 | 89/159 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 56% | 47% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 29/39 | 18/21 | 68/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 86% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 19/31 | 17/24 | 46/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 61% | 71% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 12/18 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 80% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 7/8 | 1/1 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 100% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLLWWWLW
LWWLLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Guayaquil Challenger
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Federico CoriaCoria – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (1-1) – H2H and prediction
